000
AGXX40 KNHC 131916
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
216 PM EST TUE JAN 13 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST.
MWW3 USED FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

 COLD FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH THE GULF WATERS FROM NEAR THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO N MEXICO. FRESH WINDS W OF THE FRONT WITH
GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF WATERS.
SEAS ARE IN THE 5-6 FT RANGE W OF THE FRONT AND 2-4 FT ELSEWHERE
EXCEPT THE NE GULF WHERE SEAS ARE IN THE 1-2 FT RANGE. THE FRONT
WILL STALL FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND TO NE MEXICO TODAY. A
REINFORCING FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NW GULF WED AND MERGE WITH
THE STATIONARY FRONT THU...WITH THE MERGED BOUNDARY SHIFTING SE OF
THE GULF FRI. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST.
MWW3 USED FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.


HIGH PRES RIDGE N OF THE AREA WILL MAINTAIN FRESH TO STRONG
TRADES OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND E CARIBBEAN AS WELL AS THE
TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT. THE RIDGE WILL MOVE EASTWARD
TONIGHT AND WED...WEAKENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WHICH WILL
DIMINISH WINDS. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE FAR NW CARIBBEAN
FRI...STALLING AND DISSIPATING ALONG 20N THROUGH SAT. LARGE NE-E
SWELLS WILL PROPAGATE ACROSS THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS GRADUALLY
SUBSIDING THROUGH SAT.
     
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST.
MWW3 USED FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A WEAK COLD FRONT IS OVER THE NW WATERS. FRESH TO STRONG TRADES
OVER THE SE PORTION OF THE AREA WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS
ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE 9-11 FT RANGE OVER THE SE WATERS...7-8
FT OVER THE NE WATERS...6-7 FT OVER THE NW WATERS...AND 1-2 FT W
OF THE BAHAMAS. THE FRONT WILL MOVE EASTWARD OVER THE NORTHERN
PORTION OF THE AREA THROUGH WED BEFORE DISSIPATING. A STRONGER
FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NW WATERS EARLY FRI. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA AND SHIFT E OF THE AREA SAT NIGHT.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.