000
AGXX40 KNHC 130556
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1256 AM EST TUE JAN 13 2015

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST.
MWW3 USED FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A COLD FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH THE GULF WATERS FROM NEAR THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO N MEXICO. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND
SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH WINDS W
OF THE FRONT WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE REMAINDER OF
THE GULF WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 5-6 FT RANGE W OF THE FRONT AND
2-4 FT ELSEWHERE EXCEPT THE NE GULF WHERE SEAS ARE IN THE 1-2 FT
RANGE. THE FRONT WILL STALL FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND TO NE
MEXICO TODAY. A REINFORCING FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NW GULF
WATERS MIDWEEK AND MERGE WITH THE STATIONARY FRONT THU...WITH THE
MERGED BOUNDARY SHIFTING SE OF THE GULF WATERS FRI. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT.  

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST.
MWW3 USED FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...
AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG TRADES OVER THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN CARIBBEAN AS WELL AS THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. SEAS ARE IN THE
9-11 FT RANGE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...8-9 FT OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN...4-6 FT OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...AND 9-12 FT OVER
THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. THE RIDGE N OF THE AREA THAT HAS
PRODUCED THE EXTENDED PERIOD OF STRONG TRADES OVER THE FORECAST
AREA WILL RETREAT EASTWARD TODAY AND WED. THIS WILL LOOSEN THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE FORECAST AREA AND BEING A DECREASE TO
THE WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE CARIBBEAN WATERS. BY LATE THU...WINDS
AND SEAS OVER THE CARIBBEAN WATERS WILL FALL BELOW ADVISORY
CRITERIA. LARGE NE TO E SWELLS CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE TROPICAL N
ATLC WATERS. SEAS ARE STARTING TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE...WITH SEAS
EXPECTED TO FINALLY FALL BELOW 8 FT LATE FRI/EARLY SAT.
     
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST.
MWW3 USED FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A WEAK COLD FRONT IS OVER THE NW WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED
WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY... AND CMAN DATA DEPICT
FRESH TO STRONG TRADES OVER THE SE WATERS WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE
WINDS PREVAILING ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE 9-11 FT RANGE OVER THE
SE WATERS...7-8 FT OVER THE NE WATERS...6-7 FT OVER THE NW
WATERS...AND 1-2 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. THE FRONT WILL SHIFT
EASTWARD OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS THROUGH WED BEFORE DISSIPATING.
A STRONGER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NW WATERS EARLY FRI. THIS
FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE FORECAST WATERS AND SHIFT E OF THE AREA
SAT NIGHT. 

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.