000 AGXX40 KNHC 110603 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 103 AM EST SUN JAN 11 2015 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 USED FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. LOW PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE NW WATERS WITH TROUGH/STATIONARY BOUNDARY EXTENDING SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS PREVAIL ACROSS MUCH OF THE GULF WATERS. LOCALLY STRONG WINDS ARE NOTED OVER THE NW WATERS NE OF THE LOW AS WELL AS OVER THE S CENTRAL GULF. SEAS ARE IN THE 8-10 FT RANGE OVER THE NW WATERS...6-8 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE W GULF...6-7 FT OVER THE SE GULF...AND 4-6 FT OVER THE NE GULF. THE LOW WILL MOVE ENE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND DRAG A COLD FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS. THE FRONT WILL STALL FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO THE CENTRAL GULF BY MIDWEEK. A REINFORCING NORTHERLY PUSH WILL MOVE THE BOUNDARY SE THU. FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL TRAIL THE REINFORCING FRONT. THE FRONT WILL PUSH SE OF THE AREA LATE THU INTO EARLY FRI. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 USED FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY... AND CMAN DATA DEPICT STRONG TO NEAR GALE WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...REACHING TO MINIMAL GALE OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE OVER THE CARIBBEAN W OF 65W...WITH FRESH TRADES OVER THE E CARIBBEAN E OF 65W. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES PREVAIL OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 10-12 FT RANGE OVER THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...8-11 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...6-8 FT OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...5-7 FT OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...AND 8-11 FT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND LINGER INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS BEFORE DIMINISHING BELOW GALE FORCE BY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL ONCE AGAIN PULSE TO GALE FORCE LATE TONIGHT INTO MON. HIGH PRESSURE N OF THE AREA WILL RETREAT EASTWARD MON WHICH WILL LOOSEN THE GRADIENT OVER THE CARIBBEAN WATERS AND DECREASE TRADES...TO 20 KT OR LESS BY TUE. WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN TODAY BEFORE DIMINISHING EARLY NEXT WEEK. A LARGE FETCH OF FRESH TO STRONG TRADES E OF THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS IS RESULTING IN LARGE NE TO E SWELLS PROPAGATING INTO THIS AREA. SEAS 8 FT OR GREATER WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THU. SEAS WILL PEAK NEAR 13 FT LATER TODAY INTO MONDAY BEFORE STARTING TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 USED FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT LINGERS OVER THE NW WATERS. A TROUGH PREVAILS OVER THE FAR EASTERN WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG WINDS N OF 29N AND W OF THE STATIONARY FRONT. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE FORECAST WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 7-8 FT RANGE OVER THE REGION OF FRESH TO STRONG WINDS AND IN THE 5-7 FT RANGE ELSEWHERE OUTSIDE THE BAHAMAS. SEAS ARE IN THE 1-3 FT RANGE W OF THE BAHAMAS. THE STATIONARY BOUNDARY WILL DISSIPATE TODAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE SOUTHEAST US COAST INTO THE NW WATERS ON MON. THIS FRONT WILL PROPAGATE ACROSS THE NORTHERN WATERS THROUGH MIDWEEK. A STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NW WATERS THU. THIS FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM NEAR BERMUDA TO THE FLORIDA STRAITS LATE THU NIGHT. WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE W OF THE FRONT. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... .AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN... GALE WARNING SUN NIGHT INTO MON. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.