000 AGXX40 KNHC 151842 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 142 PM EST MON DEC 15 2014 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST. USED BLEND OF MWW3 WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE. HIGH PRES EXTENDING FROM OHIO VALLEY SOUTHWARD OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF WILL SHIFT EASTWARD THROUGH TUE NIGHT. MODERATE SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL DIMINISH TODAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS EASTERN TEXAS. THE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NW GULF MON EVENING...AND REACH FROM NEAR MOBILE BAY TO JUST N OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS TUE MORNING...THEN FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION TO JUST S OF BROWNSVILLE BY TUE EVENING...WHERE THE W PORTION WILL STALL. THE FRONT WILL THEN REACH FROM NEAR TAMPA FLORIDA TO NEAR 26N89W...STATIONARY TO 26N93W AND WARM FRONT TO FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS EARLY WED MORNING. THE WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTHWARD WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI NIGHT WHILE THE COLD FRONT AND STATIONARY PORTIONS BECOME DIFFUSE AS HIGH PRES BUILDS SE ACROSS THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL GULF. ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS EASTERN TEXAS FRI. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST. USED BLEND OF MWW3 WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST FOR FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE. HIGH PRES OVER THE E U.S. EXTENDS S ACROSS NW AND FAR W CARIBBEAN AND IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF FRESH NORTHERLY WINDS W OF AN OLD FRONTAL TROUGH EXTENDING FROM JAMAICA TO SW CARIBBEAN NEAR 10N82W. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE EARLY TUE AS THE HIGH SHIFTS EASTWARD. MODERATE NE SWELLS ACROSS THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE THROUGH TUE. HIGH PRES WILL BUILD ACROSS THE SW N ATLC THU AND FRI BEHIND A COLD FRONT AND HELP TO FRESHEN THE TRADE WINDS ACROSS S CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN. ...SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 55W INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST. USED BLEND OF MWW3 WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST FOR FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE. HIGH PRES EXTENDING INTO THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF WILL SHIFT EASTWARD THROUGH TUE NIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NW GULF LATER TODAY AND EXNTEND FROM NEAR MOBILE BAY TO BROWNSVILLE TEXAS TUE MORNING THEN FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION TO JUST S OF BROWNSVILLE BY TUE. THE FRONT WILL THEN EXTEND FROM NEAR TAMPA BAY TO NEAR 26N89W THEN STATIONARY TO 26N93W EARLY WED. THE COLD FRONT AND STATIONARY PORTIONS BECOME DIFFUSE AS HIGH PRES BUILDS SE ACROSS THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL GULF. ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS EASTERN TEXAS FRI. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.