000 AGXX40 KNHC 101728 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1228 PM EST WED DEC 10 2014 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. LATEST TAFB-NWPS USED TO ADJUST WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A COLD FRONT IS MOVING OVER THE NE WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS OVER THE NW GULF WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 2-3 FT RANGE OVER THE NW GULF AND 3-5 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF WATERS. THE COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT E OF THE AREA TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN PREVAIL OVER THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND WEEKEND. SE RETURN FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN GULF LATER THIS WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND. WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. LATEST TAFB-NWPS USED TO ADJUST WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM E CUBA TO HONDURAS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN AS WELL AS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 4-7 FT RANGE OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...5-6 FT OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...2-4 FT OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...4-5 FT OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...AND 7-8 FT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. THE COLD FRONT WILL STALL AND DISSIPATE THROUGH THU. MUCH OF THE CARIBBEAN WILL REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND THE WEEKEND. WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN AND SEAS WILL BUILD TO 10 FT OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TONIGHT THROUGH FRI BEFORE DECREASING. NORTHERLY SWELL WITH SEAS 8 FT OR GREATER HAS MOVED INTO THE NORTHERN PART OF THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. SEAS 8 FT OR GREATER WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD SOUTHWARD AND WILL COVER THE ENTIRE TROPICAL N ATLC TONIGHT. WINDS WILL PEAK NEAR 10 FT OVER THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS TONIGHT BEFORE STARTING TO SUBSIDE THU. BY SAT...SEAS WILL SUBSIDE BELOW 8 FT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. ...SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 55W INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL. LATEST TAFB-NWPS USED TO ADJUST WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 31N68W TO E CUBA. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG WINDS WITHIN 250 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE FRONT N OF 27N. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE W OF THE FRONT WITH LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ELSEWHERE E OF THE FRONT. OUTSIDE THE BAHAMAS...NE SWELLS COVER THE ENTIRE FORECAST WATERS WITH 10-12 FT SEAS COVERING THE NORTHERN WATERS AND 8-10 FT SEAS COVERING THE SOUTHERN WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 3-5 FT RANGE W OF THE BAHAMAS. THE COLD FRONT WILL SLOW ITS EASTWARD PROGRESS AND WILL STALL AND DISSIPATE THU. A SECOND WEAKER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NW WATERS TONIGHT. THIS FRONT WILL SHIFT ACROSS THE WATERS THEN STALL AND DISSIPATE FRONT NEAR 31N63W TO THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS THIS WEEKEND. THE LARGE NE SWELL WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND WILL SUBSIDE BELOW 8 FT FRI. AFTERWARDS...WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA THIS WEEKEND. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.