000
AGXX40 KNHC 051854
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
154 PM EST FRI DEC 5 2014

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL 
FORECAST. MWW3 USED FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A RIDGE ACROSS THE NE PORTION OF THE AREA WILL WEAKEN
AS IT MOVES SE TONIGHT AND SAT. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
THE NW WATERS LATE SAT...EXTENDING FROM FORT MYERS FLORIDA TO
CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS SUN NIGHT AND DISSIPATE ACROSS MUCH OF THE
GULF BY MON NIGHT AS THE REMAINDER OF THE FRONT MOVES SE THROUGH
THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. GENTLE TO MODERATE N TO NE WINDS WILL
PREVAIL BEHIND THE FRONT SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL 
FORECAST. MWW3 USED FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGHER PRES N OF THE AREA AND LOWER PRES OVER THE SW
CARIBBEAN WILL ALLOW FRESH TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG NE WINDS TO
CONTINUE ACROSS NW AND N CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE CARIBBEAN
SEA...INCLUDING THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...INTO EARLY SUN. WITH WEAKER
PRES GRADIENT ELSEWHERE. DEVELOPING LOW PRES OFF THE U.S. EAST COAST FURTHER
WEAKENING THE GRADIENT OVER THE AREA MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE
NIGHT. 

...SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 55W INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL 
FORECAST. LATEST MWW3 USED FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A BROAD INVERTED TROUGH WILL PREVAIL OVER THE
CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 60W THROUGH SUN NIGHT THEN SHIFT E AND
WEAKEN MON THROUGH TUE NIGHT. NE SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE
WATERS E OF THE BAHAMAS THROUGH MON. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
NW WATERS SUN AND LIE FROM 31N74W TO VERO BEACH FLORIDA SUN
NIGHT...WEAKEN FROM 31N71W TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA MON NIGHT AND
BECOME INVIGORATED FROM 31N69W TO CENTRAL CUBA TUE NIGHT.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.