000
AGXX40 KNHC 030635
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
135 AM EST WED DEC 3 2014

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL 
FORECAST. LATEST TAFB-NWPS USED TO ADJUST WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH
CONFIDENCE.

A DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT LINGERS OVER THE NW WATERS. LATEST
SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN
DATA DEPICT MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS OVER THE SE GULF...AND GENTLE
TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF WATERS. SEAS ARE
IN THE 4-6 FT RANGE OVER THE SE GULF...AND 3-5 FT OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF WATERS. THE STALLED FRONT WILL DISSIPATE
EARLY TODAY. AFTERWARDS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE
GULF WATERS THROUGH THE PERIOD. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE
FAR NW WATERS SUN EVENING...BUT WILL NOT PROGRESS VERY FAR INTO
THE GULF WATERS. WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY
CRITERIA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND THE WEEKEND.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL 
FORECAST. LATEST TAFB-NWPS USED TO ADJUST WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH
CONFIDENCE.

WEAKENING RIDGE PREVAILS N OF THE AREA. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED
WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH
TO STRONG TRADES OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...GENTLE TO MODERATE
TRADES PREVAIL OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN AS WELL AS THE
TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 8-10 FT RANGE OVER THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN S OF 16N AND 6-8 FT RANGE N OF 16N...IN THE 5-6
FT RANGE OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...3-5 FT OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN...AND 5-6 FT RANGE OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE N OF THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND LOOSEN
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE CARIBBEAN WATERS. THIS WILL BRING A
DECREASE TO WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. 

...SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 55W INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL 
FORECAST. LATEST TAFB-NWPS USED TO ADJUST WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH
CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE THAT PREVAILED N OF THE AREA HAS SHIFTED NE AND THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE FORECAST AREA IS LOOSENING. LATEST
SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY... AND
CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE NE WATERS WITH
MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS PREVAILING ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE
9-11 FT RANGE OVER THE NE WATERS...7-9 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF
WATERS OUTSIDE THE BAHAMAS...AND 4-6 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. A BROAD
TROUGH WILL DEVELOP E OF THE FORECAST AREA. THIS WILL KEEP THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAK ENOUGH WHERE WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW 25 KT
OVER MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. SEAS 8 FT OR
GREATER IN NE SWELL WILL CONTINUE OVER THE EASTERN WATERS THROUGH
SAT BEFORE SUBSIDING BELOW 8 FT BY SUN NIGHT.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.