000 AGXX40 KNHC 020624 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 124 AM EST TUE DEC 2 2014 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. LATEST TAFB-NWPS USED TO ADJUST WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A STALLED FRONT LINGERS OVER THE NW WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS W OF THE FRONT...FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE SE GULF...AND GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 6-8 FT RANGE OVER THE SE GULF...AND 4-6 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF WATERS. THE STALLED FRONT WILL BE PUSHED BACK NORTHWARD TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK ACROSS THE AREA. AFTERWARDS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE GULF WATERS THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS AND SEAS WILL DECREASE OVER THE SE GULF WATERS TODAY. AFTER THEN...WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST THROUGH WED...THEN BLENDED IN ECMWF. LATEST TAFB-NWPS USED TO ADJUST WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE THROUGH MIDWEEK THEN MEDIUM CONFIDENCE. HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS N OF THE AREA. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG TRADES OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES PREVAIL OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN...AND GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 8-11 FT RANGE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN S OF 16N AND 6-8 FT RANGE N OF 16N. SEAS ARE IN THE 6-8 FT RANGE OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...4-6 FT OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...AND 5-6 FT RANGE OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. HIGH PRESSURE N OF THE AREA WILL WEAKEN AND LOOSEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE CARIBBEAN WATERS. THIS WILL BRING A DECREASE TO WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. THERE CONTINUES TO BE A DISAGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF A LOW OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN FOR THE LATER PART OF THE WEEK. THE GFS CONTINUES TO BE THE OUTLIER...AND HAVE BLENDED IN MORE ECMWF AFTER WED. ...SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 55W INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. LATEST TAFB-NWPS USED TO ADJUST WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED N OF THE FORECAST WATERS. A SHEAR LINE LINGERS OVER THE SE WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE WATERS S OF 28N...EXCEPT MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS E OF THE SHEAR LINE. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS PREVAIL N OF 28N. SEAS ARE IN THE 8-11 FT RANGE S OF 28N OUTSIDE THE BAHAMAS...4-7 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS...AND IN THE 5-7 FT RANGE N OF 28N. THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE N OF THE AREA WILL SHIFT NE WHICH WILL LOOSEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND DIMINISH WINDS OVER THE FORECAST AREA. BY MIDWEEK...A BROAD TROUGH WILL DEVELOP...AND REMAIN...E OF THE AREA. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.