000 AGXX40 KNHC 300613 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 113 AM EST SUN NOV 30 2014 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. LATEST TAFB-NWPS USED TO ADJUST WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS PREVAIL OVER MUCH OF THE FORECAST WATERS EXCEPT FOR THE NE GULF WHERE GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL. SEAS ARE IN THE 5-7 FT RANGE OVER THE SE GULF...4-5 FT OVER THE SW GULF...4-6 FT OVER THE NW GULF...AND 1-3 FT OVER THE NE GULF. THE RIDGE WILL PREVAIL OVER THE AREA THROUGH EARLY MON BEFORE RETREATING EASTWARD. THIS WILL ALLOW A COLD FRONT TO MOVE INTO THE FAR NW WATERS BY MON NIGHT. THE FRONT WILL STALL OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS BY TUE AND DISSIPATE BY WED AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK ACROSS THE GULF WATERS. WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA OVER MUCH OF THE FORECAST WATERS...EXCEPT FOR THE SE GULF WHERE FRESH TO STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. LATEST TAFB-NWPS USED TO ADJUST WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO E HONDURAS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG WINDS W OF THE FRONT AS WELL AS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES PREVAIL OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...AND GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 6-9 FT RANGE W OF THE FRONT AND OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...3-5 FT RANGE OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...AND 5-7 FT RANGE OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. THE STATIONARY FRONT WILL DISSIPATE EARLY TODAY. WITH STRONG HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED N OF THE AREA...A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL PREVAIL OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AND PRODUCE FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THESE WATERS...REACHING NEAR GALE OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. HIGH PRESSURE WILL WEAKEN MIDWEEK WHICH WILL LOOSEN THE GRADIENT AND DECREASE THE TRADES OVER THE CARIBBEAN WATERS. IN THE TROPICAL N ATLC...WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ...SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 55W INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. LATEST TAFB-NWPS USED TO ADJUST WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A STATIONARY FRONT PREVAILS OVER THE SE WATERS WHILE HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED N OF THE AREA. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS W OF THE FRONT WITH SEAS IN THE 8-10 FT RANGE OUTSIDE THE BAHAMAS AND 4-6 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL WITH SEAS IN THE 6-8 FT RANGE OVER THE EASTERN WATERS AND 4-6 FT OVER THE WESTERN WATERS. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE WATERS E OF THE FRONT WITH SEAS IN THE 5-7 FT RANGE. THE STATIONARY FRONT WILL DISSIPATE TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE N OF THE AREA WILL MAINTAIN FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS. THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT NE OF THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL SPREAD THE FRESH TO STRING TRADES NORTHWARD BY TUE. A BROAD TROUGH WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE EAST BY MIDWEEK. THIS WILL LOOSEN THE GRADIENT OVER THE FORECAST AREA AND DIMINISH WINDS OVER THE AREA WED THROUGH THU. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.