000
AGXX40 KNHC 170632
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
132 AM EST MON NOV 17 2014

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST.
MWW3 FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA TO THE EASTERN
BAY OF CAMPECHE EAST OF A STRONG COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL
LOUISIANA TO BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. THE FRONT WILL BE REINFORCED
AND RAPIDLY MOVE ACROSS THE GULF WATERS EXTENDING FROM PENSACOLA
FLORIDA TO NEAR TUXPAN MEXICO MON...FROM TAMPA BAY TO THE EASTERN
BAY OF CAMPECHE MON NIGHT...AND FROM CAPE SABLE TO THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA TUE. THE FRONT WILL MOVE SE OF THE AREA LATE ON TUE.
GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF BEHIND THE
FRONT EARLY MON INTO EARLY TUE.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST.
MWW3 FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

FRESH TO STRONG TRADES WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
WESTERN CARIBBEAN THROUGH TUE BEFORE DIMINISHING SLIGHTLY TO
MODERATE TO FRESH TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE YUCATAN CHANNEL INTO THE NW WATERS ON TUE FOLLOWED BY
FRESH TO STRONG WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS. THE FRONT WILL STALL FROM
CENTRAL CUBA TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS BY WED AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN
THROUGH WED NIGHT. IN ADDITION BY LATE WED... FRESH TO STRONG
TRADES WILL IMPACT THE TROPICAL N ATLC THROUGH FRI AS HIGH PRES
BUILDS S ACROSS THE CENTRAL ATLC.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST.
MWW3 FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

MODERATE TO FRESH SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE TO FRESH TO STRONG
ON PRECEDING A COLD FRONT ENTERING THE NW WATERS LATE TODAY. THIS
FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM NEAR 31N74W TO S FLORIDA TUE...FROM 31N70W
TO CENTRAL CUBA TUE NIGHT...AND FROM 31N65W TO CENTRAL CUBA TUE.
THE FRONT WILL STALL TUE AND BEGIN DRIFTING NW AS A WEAK SURFACE
TROUGH THROUGH FRI...EXTENDING FROM 31N72W TO THE NW BAHAMAS FRI.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
.GMZ011...GALE WARNING TODAY.
.GMZ017...W CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N W OF 94W...
     GALE WARNING TODAY.
.GMZ023...SW GULF S OF 22N W OF 94W...
     GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TONIGHT. 

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.