000
AGXX40 KNHC 150616
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
116 AM EST SAT NOV 15 2014

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.


...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST.
MWW3 USED TO ADJUST WAVE HEIGHTS. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE.

COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM STRAITS OF FLORIDA 22N90W THEN BECOMES
STATIONARY TO 18N94W. THE FRONT WILL WEAKEN SAT. ANOTHER STRONG
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE TEXAS COAST LATE SUN AND REACH FROM
NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA TO TAMPICO MEXICO MON...AND FROM FORT MYERS
FLORIDA TO THE EASTERN BAY OF CAMPECHE TUE. ANOTHER ROUND OF GALES
IS POSSIBLE MON THROUGH TUE ACROSS THE FAR WESTERN GULF WEST OF
THE FRONT. BY WED...THE FRONT WILL BE SE OF THE AREA WITH FRESH TO
STRONG BREEZES DIMINISHING ACROSS SE PORTIONS OF THE BASIN.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST.
MWW3 USED TO ADJUST WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WILL MAINTAIN
GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVERNIGHT. THE PRES GRADIENT WILL
STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN TODAY THROUGH SUN...WITH
MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY FRESH NE WINDS EXPECTED BEFORE
DIMINISHING SUN NIGHT. TRADES WILL PICK UP TO A MODERATE TO FRESH
BREEZE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN...AND TROPICAL N
ATLC SUN THROUGH TUE. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE YUCATAN
CHANNEL REGION TUE NIGHT INTRODUCING FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS
ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN THROUGH WED NIGHT.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST.
MWW3 USED TO ADJUST WAVE HEIGHTS. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE.

COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM 31N73W TO PORT S FLORIDA WILL STALL
BETWEEN 27N AND 28N BY LATE SAT. THE FRONT WILL RETURN N AS A WARM
FRONT...LIFTING N OF THE BAHAMAS AND INTO NE FLORIDA SUN. A NEW
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE NE FLORIDA COAST MON NIGHT...AND
EXTEND FROM 31N75W TO STUART FLORIDA TUE...AND FROM 31N69W TO
CENTRAL CUBA WED.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
.GMZ017...GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE MON INTO MON NIGHT.
.GMZ023...GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE MON INTO TUE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.