000 AGXX40 KNHC 091900 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 300 PM EDT THU OCT 9 2014 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: 12Z GFS AND 00Z ECMWF BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL. NWPS USED FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE. HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS JUST NORTH OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. LATEST SATELLITE-DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT LIGHT TO GENTLE BREEZE CONDITIONS OVER THE NE GULF WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZE ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE 1-2 FT RANGE OVER THE NE GULF AND 3-5 FT ELSEWHERE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH MONDAY. THIS WILL KEEP WINDS AND SEAS BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA DURING THAT TIME. ON TUESDAY...A VIGOROUS COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE NW GULF AND PUSH SOUTHEASTWARD. GALE CONDITIONS MAY BE POSSIBLE LATE TUESDAY OR ON WEDNESDAY IN THE SW GULF. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: 12Z GFS AND 00Z ECMWF BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL. NWPS USED FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WHILE A SURFACE TROUGH IS JUST EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. LATEST SATELLITE-DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...LIGHT TO GENTLE TRADES OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN AS WELL AS OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS...EXCEPT FRESH TO STRONG OVER THE FAR NORTHERN PART OF THE AREA E OF THE TROUGH. SEAS ARE IN THE 5-6 FT RANGE OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...2-4 FT OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN...AND 4-6 FT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. THE TROUGH OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS WILL MOVE W OF THE AREA BY FRI. THE TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WILL EITHER REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE NEXT THREE DAYS OR...MORE LIKELY...A DEVELOPING NEW TROPICAL WAVE WILL MERGE WITH THE EXISTING WAVE. FARTHER EAST...A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC CURRENTLY WILL MOVE OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES BY SUNDAY. WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA THROUGH AT LEAST MON OVER THE CARIBBEAN WHILE EASTERLY SWELL REACHING 8 FT WILL AFFECT THE NORTHERN PART OF THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS THIS WEEKEND. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: 12Z GFS AND 00Z ECMWF BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL. NWPS USED FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE. HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS WITH 1007 MB LOW AND TRAILING ROUGH JUST E OF THE AREA. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS OVER THE NW WATERS WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 5-7 FT NORTH OF PUERTO RICO...3-4 FT RANGE OUTSIDE THE BAHAMAS W OF 70W...AND 1-3 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. THE LOW SHOULD PUSH NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS THEN BEGIN RECURVING NORTHEASTWARD ON SUN. THIS WILL LIKELY BRING SOME STRONG BREEZE AND 8-10 FT SEAS IN THE ZONES NORTH OF PUERTO RICO ON FRI AND SAT. ON SUN AND MON...WINDS AND WAVES SHOULD DIMINISH GRADUALLY. IF THE SYSTEM DEVELOPS INTO A SUBTROPICAL STORM...THEN WINDS AND SEAS MAY NEED TO BE SIGNIFICANTLY BOOSTED. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... .GMZ023...SW GULF S OF 22N W OF 94W... GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE TUE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER LANDSEA/LEVINE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.