000
AGXX40 KNHC 081719
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
119 PM EDT WED OCT 8 2014

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL.
MWW3/NWPS USED FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE.
 
HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF. LATEST SATELLITE
DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA
DEPICT LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS OVER THE NE GULF WITH GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE 1-2 FT RANGE OVER THE NE
GULF AND 2-3 FT ELSEWHERE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS WILL KEEP WINDS AND SEAS
BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA.
  
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3/NWPS USED FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE.
  
A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WHILE A
SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. LATEST
SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN
DATA DEPICT MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES OVER THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN
CARIBBEAN...LIGHT TO GENTLE TRADES OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN...AND GENTLE TO LIGHT WINDS OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC
WATERS...EXCEPT FRESH TO STRONG OVER THE FAR NORTHERN PART OF THE
AREA E OF THE TROUGH. SEAS ARE IN THE 6-8 FT RANGE OVER THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN...4-7 FT OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...2-4 FT
OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...AND 4-6 FT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC
WATERS. THE TROUGH OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS WILL MOVE W OF
THE AREA BY FRI. THE TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WILL
SHIFT INTO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THU...AND THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN
FRI...THEN W OF THE AREA SUN. A SECOND TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE
INTO THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS FRI...THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
SAT...THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SUN...AND THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SUN.
WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA THROUGH AT
LEAST SUN OVER THE CARIBBEAN WHILE EASTERLY SWELL REACHING 8 FT
WILL AFFECT THE NORTHERN PART OF THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS THIS
WEEKEND.
         
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS/ECMWF BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3/NWPS USED FOR WAVES. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS WITH A BROAD
TROUGH JUST E OF THE AREA. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND
SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT LIGHT TO GENTLE
WINDS OVER THE NW WATERS WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 3-4 FT RANGE
OUTSIDE THE BAHAMAS...AND 1-3 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL SHIFT N OF THE AREA BY THU ENABLING THE BROAD TROUGH E OF THE
AREA TO MOVE INTO THE AREA. LOW PRESSURE WILL FORM ALONG THE
TROUGH BY THE END OF THE WEEK. THE TROUGH AND LOW WILL LINGER
OVER THE EASTERN WATERS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.