000
AGXX40 KNHC 050608
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
208 AM EDT SUN OCT 5 2014

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL.
MWW3 USED FOR WAVES. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE.
 
COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM SW OF FLORIDA TO 23N97W. THE W PORTION OF
THE FRONT WILL STALL AND THEN BEGIN TO LIFT N SUN AS A WARM FRONT
AND INTO NW GULF AND EXTREME S TEXAS BY SUN BECOMING DIFFUSE MON.
E PORTION OF THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE MOVING E OF THE AREA SUN.
HIGH PRES WILL DEVELOP ACROSS FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION EARLY WED
AND EXTEND A RIDGE W-SW THROUGH THU. WEAK PRES PATTERN WITH MOSTLY
LIGHT WINDS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
  
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL. 
MWW3 USED FOR WAVES. MEDIUM-HIGH CONFIDENCE.
  
THE EASTERLY TRADES CONTINUE AT 20 KT ACROSS THE S-CENTRAL AND  
PORTIONS OF THE SW CARIBBEAN AREA WITH AN EMBEDDED AREA OF 25 KT 
ENHANCED ALONG THE NW COAST OF COLOMBIA EACH NIGHT THROUGH THE 
PERIOD. THE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN ON SUN AND MON NIGHTS WITH 
MOSTLY 25 KT CONDITIONS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE WATERS FROM 11-17N 
BETWEEN 69-82W WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT. MIXED N AND E SWELL 
WILL MAINTAIN COMBINED SEAS OF 6-8 FT ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLC 
WATERS TODAY THEN SUBSIDING TO 5-6 FT FROM MON THROUGH THU. 
         
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL. 
MWW3 USED FOR WAVES. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE.

TROUGH FROM 28N65W TO 23N74W WILL DISSIPATE TONIGHT. COLD FRONT
FRONT FROM 31N75W TO STRAITS OF FLORIDA THEN STALL FROM 31N69W TO
NW CUBA LATER TODAY...THEN DRIFT NW AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN MON LATE
THROUGH TUE BEFORE DISSIPATING. NW WINDS 20-25 KT N OF 30N W OF
THE FRONT WILL DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE WINDS 15 KT OR
LESS ACROSS THE AREA.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.