000
AGXX40 KNHC 291757
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
157 PM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL BLENDED WITH THE GFS.
MWW3 FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

THE NORTHERN PORTION OF A TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
S OF 23N TONIGHT THROUGH WED. A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM NW
FLORIDA S TO 1011 MB LOW PRES NEAR 29N87W TO 28N95W TO 24N97W.
THE STATIONARY FRONT WILL BECOME A COLD FRONT AS THE LOW MOVES
E-NE. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE E OF THE AREA ON WED. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD OVER THE GULF WED AND THU. A NEW COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
OFF THE TEXAS COAST FRI AND EXTEND FROM 30N86W TO 24N92W FRI
NIGHT. MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL 
FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVES. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 88W WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN THROUGH TUE BEFORE MOVING W OF THE AREA. ELY
20-25 KT TRADE WINDS ARE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH GENTLE
TO MODERATE TRADES ELSEWHERE...EXCEPT INCREASING TO A FRESH TO
STRONG BREEZE IN THE GULF OF HONDURAS THU NIGHT.

       
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL BLENDED WITH THE GFS.
MWW3 FOR WAVES. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE.

THE MODELS AGREE ON ALLOWING THE LOW NEAR BERMUDA TO DEEPEN AS IT
SLOWLY DRIFTS NORTHWARD TODAY THEN GRADUALLY DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES
INTO THE LEADING EDGE OF THE BROAD TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE E
TONIGHT INTO TUE. WEAK STATIONARY FRONT WILL MEANDER N OF 30N
THROUGH TUE WHEN A LOW ALONG THE FRONT MOVES INTO THE ATLC N OF
THE AREA AND SENDS A COLD FRONT OFF THE NE FLORIDA COAST. THE
FRONT WILL REACH FROM 31N76W TO CENTRAL FLORIDA TUE NIGHT...FROM
31N69W TO 27N81W WED NIGHT...FROM 29N68W TO THE N BAHAMAS THU
NIGHT...AND DISSIPATE FROM 27N65W TO THE N BAHAMAS FRI NIGHT

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.