000 AGXX40 KNHC 120622 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 222 AM EDT FRI SEP 12 2014 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. NWPS USED FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE. THE NORTHERN PORTION OF A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS THE FAR SW GULF AND WILL MOVE INLAND LATER TODAY. A TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THE LEE OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA LATER TODAY WITH WEAK LOW PRES DEVELOPING ALONG IT IN THE SW GULF. FRESH TO STRONG E-SE WINDS AND SEAS OF 7-9 FT WILL BE TO THE E OF THE TROUGH PRIOR TO IT MOVING INLAND SAT NIGHT. AN AREA OF LOW PRES CURRENTLY E-NE OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA IS FORECAST TO MOVE W-SW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA THROUGH LATER TODAY...THEN INTO THE SE AND S CENTRAL GULF THEREAFTER. MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS CONSISTENT WITH PREVIOUS RUNS GRADUALLY WEAKENING THE LOW INTO AN OPEN TROUGH AS IT CONTINUES WESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN GULF THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...EVENTUALLY MOVING INLAND BY MON NIGHT OR TUE. MEANWHILE...A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY STRETCHING FROM NE GEORGIA TO S CENTRAL TEXAS WILL APPROACH THE TEXAS AND LOUISIANA COASTS LATER TODAY...STALLING OUT EITHER JUST OFFSHORE IN THE COASTAL WATERS OR RIGHT ALONG THE COAST BEFORE GRADUALLY DISSIPATING THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. NWPS USED FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A TROPICAL WAVE IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WILL MOVE WESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH SAT AND INTO THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. A FEW SHOWERS AND TSTMS WILL ACCOMPANY THE TROPICAL WAVE THROUGH THE SE CARIBBEAN TONIGHT AND FRI. MEANWHILE...WINDS OVER THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WILL PULSE TO 25 KT...MAINLY DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. SEAS WILL RANGE FROM 8 TO 10 FT. WINDS WILL ALSO PULSE TO 25 KT THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING OVER THE GULF OF HONDURAS IN RESPONSE TO HIGH PRES BUILDING OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF WINDS TO 25 KT LATE THIS EVENING INTO EARLY SAT. FARTHER TO THE EAST...TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD IS FORECAST TO PASS WELL TO THE NE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SUN AND MON. NO MAJOR IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED W OF 55W...OTHER THAN NE SWELL TO 6 FT OVER THE WATERS E OF THE LEEWARDS. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE:LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. NWPS USED FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE. A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRES 1012 MB IS CENTERED NEAR 27N80W. SHOWER AND TSTM ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY LIMITED AND STRONG UPPER LEVEL WINDS AND INTERACTION WITH THE FLORIDA PENINSULA IS EXPECTED TO LIMIT ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THE LOW PRIOR TO IT MOVING INLAND LATER TODAY. WEAK RIDGING WILL PERSIST N OF THE AREA...SHIFTING S TO ALONG 29N/30N EARLY NEXT WEEK. FARTHER SOUTH...THE NORTHERN PORTION OF A TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WILL MOVE WESTWARD S OF 22N REACHING THE MONA PASSAGE FRI AND THE WINDWARD PASSAGE BY SAT...ALLOWING TRADE WINDS TO INCREASE TO 20 KT OCCASIONALLY S OF 22N. TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD IS FORECAST TO REMAIN WELL NE-E OF THE SW N ATLC OFFSHORE WATERS WITH LITTLE IMPACTS EXPECTED...OTHER THAN BUILDING SWELL TO 8 FT REACHING 65W BY LATE TUE. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.