000
AGXX40 KNHC 100542
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
142 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2014

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. MEDIUM
CONFIDENCE.

WEAK HIGH PRES PERSISTS ACROSS THE NORTHER GULF THROUGH SUNDAY THE
NORTHERN PORTION OF A TROPICAL WAVE MOVING ACROSS THE YUCATAN
CHANNEL WILL MOVE THROUGH THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND THE SOUTH
CENTRAL GULF TODAY THROUGH THU...THEN MOVE W ACROSS THE SW GULF OF
MEXICO FRI AND SAT. OTHERWISE A WEAK PRES PATTERN ACROSS THE AREA
WITH MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS...HOWEVER WINDS WILL INCREASE SOME OVER
THE SOUTHERN GULF OVER THE WEEKEND.


...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N
BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. MEDIUM
CONFIDENCE.

A TROPICAL WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL AND NW
CARIBBEAN WILL SHIFT W OF THE AREA THIS MORNING. A SECOND
TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 50W WILL MOVE TO 55W LATE WED...MOVE ACROSS
THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN THU AND FRI...AND THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SAT
AND SUN. A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE WITH DEVELOPING LOW PRES IN THE
EASTERN ATLC IS EXPECTED TO START TO PASS TO THE NE OF THE AREA SUNDAY.
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS SYSTEM.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. MEDIUM
CONFIDENCE.

A RIDGE WITH AXIS ACROSS THE N PORTION OF THE AREA WILL DOMINATE
THE REGION THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. A TROUGH OVER THE SE
BAHAMAS WILL MOVE WESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS ON WED
REACHING THE NW BAHAMAS BY THU. A WEAK LOW PRES MAY DEVELOP ALONG
THE TROUGH AXIS. WEAK PRES PATTERN WILL KEEP WINDS MOSTLY LIGHT
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.