000 AGXX40 KNHC 030756 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 356 AM EDT WED SEP 3 2014 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL. NWPS USED FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE. TROPICAL STORM WARNING DOLLY HAS MOVED INLAND JUST SOUTH OF TAMPICO MEXICO EARLIER THIS EVENING. SEE THE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT5/WTNT25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS ON DOLLY. FRESH TO STRONG SE WINDS EXTENDING FROM THE NW COAST OF YUCATAN TOWARD THE NE MEXICO AND S TEXAS COASTLINES WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AS THE DOLLY WEAKENS AND SHIFTS INWARD. SEAS ARE LIKELY STILL UP TO 13 FT OR SO OFF THE NE MEXICAN COAST BUT SHOULD SUBSIDE BELOW 8 FT BY LATE TODAY. ELSEWHERE ELSEWHERE GENERALLY GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZES PERSIST SOUTH OF RIDGING EXTENDING FROM THE CAROLINAS TO E TEXAS. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERALLY AGREEMENT INDICATE WEAK TROUGHING LINGERING OVER THE FAR SW GULF TONIGHT INTO THU...KEEPING MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ACROSS THE S CENTRAL AND W CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE GULF. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY THE PASSAGE OF THE NORTHERN PORTION OF A TROPICAL WAVE ACROSS THE SW GULF LATE FRI AND SAT. WINDS WILL DIMINISH HOWEVER EVEN WITH THE TROPICAL WAVE PASSAGE AS RIDGING N OF THE AREA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN LEAVING GENERALLY MODERATE EASTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL. NWPS USED FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE. A TROPICAL WAVE BETWEEN CENTRAL CUBA AND PANAMA WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN THROUGH THU NIGHT/EARLY FRI. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE BETWEEN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND NW VENEZUELA WILL SHIFT THROUGH THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH THU AND THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN THROUGH LATE SAT. ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 55W WILL ENTER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN THU...THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THU AND THE NW CARIBBEAN THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE MAIN IMPACT WILL PULSES OF FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OFF THE COAST OF NE COLOMBIA AND NW VENEZUELA MAINLY OVERNIGHT WITH SEAS REACHING AS HIGH AS 8 TO 10 FT OVER THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. FRESH TO STRONG E WINDS ARE ALSO LIKELY OVER THE GULF OF HONDURAS LATE THU AND LATE SAT...REACTING TO LOCAL DIURNAL EFFECTS IN BETWEEN PASSAGES OF TROPICAL WAVES. NO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES NOTED IN MODEL OUTPUT. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL. NWPS USED FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE. A RIDGE WILL DOMINATE THE AREA THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. IT WILL MAINTAIN GENERALLY LIGHT TO MODERATE E TO SE FLOW THROUGH MID WEEK EXCEPT FOR OCCASIONALLY MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WINDS IN THE SOUTHERN BAHAMAS...TURKS AND CAICOS AND OFF HISPANIOLA. A PERSISTENT UPPER LOW CENTERED OVER THE BAHAMAS WILL CONTINUE TO ENHANCE SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE BAHAMAS THROUGH INTO THU. THE NORTHERN PORTION OF A TROPICAL WAVE WILL BRUSH WATERS S OF 22N THROUGH THE SOUTHERN BAHAMAS TODAY. THE NORTHERN PORTION OF ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA THROUGH FRI ENHANCING TRADE WIND FLOW S OF 22N. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... .GMZ017...W CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N W OF 94W... TROPICAL STORM WARNING ENDING EARLY THIS MORNING. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.