000 AGXX40 KNHC 130552 CCA MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION....COR NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 129 AM EDT SUN JUL 13 2014 CORRECTION FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL WHICH WAS A GFS/ECMWF BLEND. NWPS USED FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. AN E TO W RIDGE WILL MEANDER ACROSS THE NORTHERN WATERS THROUGH EARLY MON WITH A SURFACE HIGH DEVELOPING ALONG THE RIDGE OVER THE E-CENTRAL WATERS THIS AFTERNOON AS A HEAT TROUGH FORMS OVER THE FL PENINSULA DISSECTING THE ATLC RIDGE FROM THE GULF. THE RIDGE WILL SHIFT S LATE MON AND EXTEND FROM SW FL TO NE TX WITH A HIGH CENTER DEVELOPING ALONG THE RIDGE NEAR 25N86W ON TUE AND WED AFTERNOONS AND NEAR 27N83W ON THU AFTERNOON. THIS SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL MAINTAIN E-SE 5-10 KT FLOW...WITH SEAS 1-3 FT... ACROSS THE GULF WATERS N OF 24N W OF 85W THROUGH MON EVENING. THE GRADIENT WILL THEN TIGHTEN SLIGHTLY INCREASING THE RETURN FLOW TO 10-15 KT ACROSS THE FAR WESTERN WATERS AROUND THE W PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE ON MON NIGHT AND TUE. THESE CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD E ON WED AND WED NIGHT TO EVERYWHERE N OF 24N W OF 91W WITH SEAS OF 3-5 FT. THE GRADIENT WILL FURTHER TIGHTEN WITH SE WINDS OF 15-20 KT/ SEAS 4-7 FT EXPECTED OVER THE NW WATERS LATE THU...WITH THESE CONDITIONS SPREADING E ACROSS THE WATERS N OF 24N W OF 90W ON THU NIGHT. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EXPECTED OVER THE NE AND E-CENTRAL GULF AROUND THE RIDGE AND OCCASIONALLY AROUND THE EMBEDDED SURFACE HIGH. AN INVERTED TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP EACH AFTERNOON OVER THE CENTRAL BAY OF CAMPECHE AND LOSE IDENTITY EACH NIGHT. THE GRADIENT WILL MAINTAIN NE-E 10-15 KT FLOW ACROSS THE WATERS TO THE S OF 24N THROUGH THE PERIOD...EXCEPT INCREASING TO 15-20 KT ALONG THE WESTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA ON TUE AND WED EVENINGS. MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE IS SUGGESTING EMBEDDED AREAS OF SE 20-25 KT WINDS NEAR THE NW YUCATAN AND SE TX COASTS ON THU NIGHT. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL WHICH WAS A GFS/ECMWF BLEND. NWPS USED FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. MED CONFIDENCE. A TROPICAL WAVE WILL PASS THROUGH THE FAR NW CARIBBEAN INCLUDING THE GULF OF HONDURAS AND YUCATAN CHANNEL TODAY ACCOMPANIED BY SCT RW/ISOL TS. A TROPICAL WAVE WILL PASS THROUGH THE TROPICAL ATLC WATERS TONIGHT AND MON...PASS THROUGH THE E CARIBBEAN ON MON NIGHT AND TUE...REACHING THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN DURING MID WEEK. THE AREA OF STRONG TRADES THAT HAS PERSISTED OVER THE CENTRAL AND SW CARIBBEAN WILL GRADUALLY SHRINK THROUGH WED... BUT EXPAND AGAIN ON THU. THE ENHANCED AREA OF NEAR GALE CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING ALONG THE NW COAST OF COLOMBIA. THESE NEAR GALE CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED AGAIN UNTIL THU EVENING. FRESH TRADES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE GULF OF HONDURAS...EXCEPT INCREASING TO 20-25 KT OVER THE AREA S OF 17N EACH EVENING THROUGH THE PERIOD. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL WHICH WAS A GFS/ECMWF BLEND. NWPS USED FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. MED- HIGH CONFIDENCE. AN ENE-WSW RIDGE CURRENTLY EXTENDING FROM BERMUDA TO PORT CANAVERAL FL WILL SHIFT S TO A POSITION FROM 31N68W TO FORT PIERCE FL EARLY TUE...AND FROM 31N60W TO PORT OF MIAMI FL ON THU. SOUTHERLY 10-15 KT FLOW WILL DEVELOP N OF THE RIDGE TONIGHT AND MON NIGHT...INCREASE TO 15-20 KT ON TUE NIGHT...WITH 10-15 KT CONDITIONS EXPECTED AGAIN ON WED AND THU NIGHTS. EASTERLY TRADES TO THE S OF THE RIDGE ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AT 10-15 KT ACROSS THE WATERS S OF 25N...EXCEPT FOR EVENING 15-20 KT PULSES ALONG THE N COAST OF HISPANIOLA AND THE EASTERN APPROACH TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE. MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE IS SUGGESTING THE ENHANCEMENT ON THU EVENING WILL BE IN 20-25 KT RANGE. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.