000
AGXX40 KNHC 121807
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
207 PM EDT SAT JUL 12 2014

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO... 

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL. HIGH
CONFIDENCE.

AN E TO W RIDGE WILL EXTEND FROM THE NE GULF TO THE NE TX COAST WITH
A SURFACE HIGH DEVELOPING INTERMITTENTLY ALONG THE RIDGE THROUGH
SUN BEFORE SHIFTING S FROM S FL TO NE MEXICO MON THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. THIS WILL MAINTAIN 5-10 KT SURFACE FLOW...WITH
SEAS 1-3 FT...ACROSS THE GULF WATERS THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF 15-20 KT ALONG THE W COAST OF YUCATAN DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS THROUGH WED NIGHT. A TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE BAY OF CAMPECHE TONIGHT AND SUN S OF 20N. THIS WAVE
WILL EXIT THE BAY OF CAMPECHE SUN NIGHT.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL. NWPS
USED FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. MED CONFIDENCE. 

A TROPICAL WAVE OVER CENTRAL AMERICA WILL PASS INTO THE SW GULF
TONIGHT. A BROAD TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY OVER THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN WILL PASS THROUGH THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN TONIGHT THROUGH
SUN NIGHT. A TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CENTRAL ATLC WILL PASS W THROUGH
THE TROPICAL ATLC WATERS S OF 18N ON TUE AND WED. STRONG TRADES
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MOST OF THE CENTRAL AND SW CARIBBEAN THROUGH
THE PERIOD...WITH AN AREA OF NEAR GALE WARNING CONDITIONS
DEVELOPING THIS EVENING AND ON SUN EVENING ALONG THE NW COAST OF
COLOMBIA. THIS EFFECTED AREA WILL SHRINK THROUGH THE PERIOD. FRESH
TRADES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE GULF OF HONDURAS...EXCEPT
INCREASING TO 20-25 KT EACH EVENING BEGINNING ON SUN EVENING. MED
CONFIDENCE DUE TO THE MODEL DIFFERENCE...GFS WINDS OFF COLOMBIA
AND IN THE GULF OF HONDURAS ARE SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN OTHER MODELS.
 
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL. HIGH
CONFIDENCE.

AN E-W RIDGE CURRENTLY EXTENDING FROM 31N68W TO JACKSONVILLE FL
WILL SHIFT S FROM 31N70W TO PORT CANAVERAL FL SUN...FROM 31N68W
TO FORT PIERCE FL EARLY TUE...AND FROM 31N60W TO PORT OF MIAMI FL
ON WED NIGHT. SOUTHERLY 10-15 KT FLOW WILL DEVELOP N OF THE RIDGE
ON MON NIGHT...AND INCREASE TO 15-20 KT ON TUE NIGHT WITH 10-15 KT
EXPECTED AGAIN ON WED NIGHT. EASTERLY TRADES TO THE S OF THE RIDGE
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AT 10-15 KT ACROSS THE WATERS S OF
25N...EXCEPT FOR EVENING 15-20 KT PULSES ALONG THE N COAST OF
HISPANIOLA AND THE EASTERN APPROACH TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER PAW. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.