000
AGXX40 KNHC 080630
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
230 AM EDT TUE JUL 8 2014

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO... 

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE. 

A LOW LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH WILL DEVELOP OVER THE CENTRAL BAY OF 
CAMPECHE E OF A WAVE MOVING INTO SOUTHERN MEXICO. THE TROUGH IS 
EXPECTED TO LOSE IDENTITY AT NIGHT THEN REDEVELOP EACH AFTERNOON 
THROUGH SAT. NEARLY STATIONARY HIGH NEAR 28N86W WILL MEANDER 
THROUGH SAT AND HELP ANCHOR PERSISTENT RIDGE OVER THE REGION. 
EXPECT LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS AND SLIGHT SEAS TO PREVAIL IN THE 
REGION THROUGH SAT EXCEPT NEAR YUCATAN WHERE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A 
TIGHTER GRADIENT WILL SUPPORT 20-25 KT WINDS ALONG THE YUCATAN 
PENINSULA EACH EVENING THROUGH SAT.
 
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE. 

ASCAT PASS AT 0140 UTC SHOWED 30 KT WINDS NEAR THE NW COAST OF 
VENEZUELA AS STRONG TRADES CONTINUE ACROSS MOST OF THE CENTRAL 
AND SW CARIBBEAN. WINDS BRIEFLY INCREASE TO NEAR GALE EACH NIGHT 
THIS WEEK UP TO 300 NM NW OF THE COLOMBIA COAST. SEAS EXPECTED 
TO REACH 14-15 FT MAX TUE AND WED AFTERNOONS. FRESH EASTERLY 
TRADES IN THE GULF OF HONDURAS WILL APPROACH 25 KT TUE AND WED 
EVENINGS...WITH A 20 KT MAX EXPECTED THU AND FRI EVENINGS. 
  
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE. 

A HIGH PRES RIDGE EXTENDING ALONG 28N TO CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL 
REMAIN DOMINANT SYNOPTIC FEATURE ACROSS THE BASIN THROUGH SAT. 
SOUTHERLY FLOW N OF THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED REACH 10-15 KT EACH 
NIGHT AND DIMINISH TO 10 KT DURING THE DAY. FRESH EASTERLY 
TRADES S OF THE RIDGE ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...WITH LATE 
AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING 20-25 KT PULSES ALONG THE N COAST OF 
HISPANIOLA AND EASTERN APPROACHES TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE. 

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.