000
AGXX40 KNHC 070702
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
302 AM EDT MON JUL 7 2014

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO... 

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE. 

THE NORTHERN EXTENSION OF A FAST MOVING TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE  
ACROSS THE WESTERN BAY OF CAMPECHE THROUGH TONIGHT. A LOW LEVEL 
INVERTED TROUGH WILL DEVELOP OVER THE CENTRAL BAY OF CAMPECHE E 
OF THE WAVE. THIS TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO LOSE IDENTITY EACH NIGHT 
AND REDEVELOP EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH FRI. NEARLY STATIONARY HIGH 
NEAR 28N88W WILL MEANDER THROUGH FRI AND HELP ANCHOR RIDGE OVER 
THE REGION. EXPECT LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS AND SLIGHT SEAS TO 
PREVAIL IN THE REGION THROUGH FRI EXCEPT NEAR YUCATAN. GUIDANCE 
SUGGESTS A TIGHTER GRADIENT WILL SUPPORT 20-25 KT WINDS ALONG 
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA EACH EVENING TUE THROUGH FRI.
 
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE. 

A FAST MOVING TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE WEST CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WILL 
ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN THROUGH TUE. STRONG TRADES WILL CONTINUE 
ACROSS MOST OF THE CENTRAL AND SW CARIBBEAN THROUGH FRI...EXCEPT 
BRIEFLY INCREASING TO NEAR GALE EACH NIGHT THIS WEEK UP TO 300 
NM NW OF THE COLOMBIA COAST. FRESH EASTERLY TRADES IN THE GULF 
OF HONDURAS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING. THE PATTERN WILL REPEAT 
ITSELF TUE EVENING AND WED EVENING...WITH A 20 KT MAX EXPECTED 
THU AND FRI EVENINGS. 
  
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE. 

A HIGH PRES RIDGE EXTENDING ALONG 28N TO CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL 
REMAIN DOMINANT SYNOPTIC FEATURE ACROSS THE BASIN THROUGH FRI. 
SOUTHERLY FLOW N OF THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED REACH 10-15 KT EACH 
NIGHT AND DIMINISH TO 10 KT DURING THE DAY. FRESH EASTERLY 
TRADES S OF THE RIDGE ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE...WITH LATE 
AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING 20-25 KT PULSES ALONG THE N COAST OF 
HISPANIOLA AND THE EASTERN APPROACH TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE. 

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.