000
AGXX40 KNHC 060645
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
245 AM EDT SUN JUL 6 2014

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO... 

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE. 

DOMINANT SURFACE FEATURE ACROSS THE REGION CONTINUES TO BE HIGH 
PRES RIDGE EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA INTO NORTHERN MEXICO. 
LOW LEVEL INVERTED TROUGH EXPECTED TO LOSE IDENTITY EACH NIGHT 
AND REDEVELOP DURING EARLY AFTERNOON OVER THE CENTRAL BAY OF 
CAMPECHE THROUGH THE PERIOD.NORTHERN EXTENSION OF A TROPICAL 
WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA INTO BAY OF CAMPECHE 
MON NIGHT AND TUE. WEAK HIGH DEVELOPING NEAR MISSISSIPPI DELTA 
WILL MEANDER THROUGH THU ACROSS NORTHERN AND NORTHEASTERN GULF. 
EXPECT LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS AND SLIGHT SEAS TO PREVAIL OVER 
THE REGION THROUGH THU EXCEPT NEAR YUCATAN. GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A 
TIGHTER GRADIENT WILL SUPPORT 20-25 KT WINDS ALONG THE YUCATAN 
PENINSULA EACH EVENING AFTER MON.
 
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE.  

A TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHING THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WILL MOVE WEST 
OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. A SECOND TROPICAL WAVE IN THE 
EASTERN CARIBBEAN WILL REACH THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN MON THEN PASS 
THROUGH THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN WED AND THU. STRONG TRADES WILL 
CONTINUE ACROSS MOST OF THE CENTRAL AND SW CARIBBEAN THROUGH THE 
PERIOD. WINDS INCREASE TO NEAR GALE TONIGHT ALONG THE NW COAST 
OF COLOMBIA. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL RELAX TONIGHT SUPPORTING 
A 25 KT MAX ALONG COLOMBIA. NOCTURNAL NEAR GALE CONDITIONS WILL 
RESUME AGAIN MON NIGHT...AND CONTINUE EACH NIGHT THROUGH THU. 
FRESH EASTERLY TRADES ACROSS THE GULF OF HONDURAS WILL INCREASE 
TO STRONG THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE INTO EARLY MON. THE PATTERN 
WILL REPEAT TUE AND WED EVENING. 
  
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE. 

A RIDGE EXTENDS ALONG 28N/29N TO CENTRAL FLORIDA. ANTICYCLONIC 
FLOW AROUND THE RIDGE AXIS DOMINATES THE WIND REGIME...AND IS 
EXPECTED TO REMAIN SO SEVERAL MORE DAYS THROUGH MID-WEEK. THE  
RIDGE WILL STRENGTHEN LATER TODAY TO EXTEND FURTHER WEST ACROSS 
FLORIDA ALONG 28N THROUGH THU. A TIGHTER GRADIENT WILL INCREASE 
SOUTHERLY FLOW N OF THE RIDGE AXIS TO 10-15 KT TONIGHT THROUGH 
TUE NIGHT. EASTERLY TRADES S OF THE RIDGE AXIS ARE EXPECTED TO 
CONTINUE AT 15-20 KT ACROSS THE WATERS S OF 25N...WITH EVENING 
20-25 KT PULSES ALONG THE N COAST OF HISPANIOLA AND THE EASTERN 
APPROACH TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.