000
AGXX40 KNHC 031748
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
148 PM EDT THU JUL 3 2014

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO... 

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST AND
BLEND OF LATEST MWW3 WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A WEAK 1018 MB HIGH IS CENTERED OVER THE NORTHWEST GULF NEAR
28N94W WITH OVERALL WEAK RIDGING OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE NORTHERN PORTION OF A TROPICAL
WAVE S OF 22N ALONG 94W WILL MOVE W OF THE AREA TONIGHT. WINDS
WILL REMAIN 15 KT OR LESS THROUGH TUE.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST. MWW3 BLEND
WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

FRESH TO STRONG TRADES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE S CENTRAL AND SW
CARIBBEAN THROUGH EARLY SUN. TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHING THE GULF OF
HOUNDURAS WILL E OF THE AREA TONIGHT. SECOND TROPICAL OVER THE
EASTERN CARIBBEAN WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN FRI
THROUGH SAT AND INTO THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SAT NIGHT AND SUN.
ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE TROPICAL N ATLC ZONE AND
INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SAT THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SUN INTO
EARLY MON AND OVER WESTERN CARIBBEAN MON NIGHT.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: A BLEND OF GFS WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL AND A
BLEND OF PREVIOUS NWW3 FOR WAVES.

HURRICANE WARNING ARTHUR NEAR 32.4N 78.5W 981 MB AT 1500 UTC
MOVING N AT 9 KT WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
ARTHUR IS FORECAST TO MOVE FURTHER FROM THE AREA AND WINDS AND
WILL SEAS DECREASE. IN THE WAKE OF ARTHUR A RIDGE WILL BECOME
ESTABLISHED FROM 30N65W TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA THU THROUGH FRI
THEN LIFT TO THE FAR NORTHERN PORTION OF THE AREA SAT THROUGH MON.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING TODAY OVER THE FAR NW PORTION OF THE AREA.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
.AMZ111...ATLANTIC FROM 30N TO 31N W OF 77W...TROPICAL STORM
WARNING TODAY.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.