000
AGXX40 KNHC 201812
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
212 PM EDT FRI JUN 20 2014

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO... 
MODEL PREFERENCE: PREVIOUS FORECAST BLENDED WITH THE GFS. MWW3 FOR
WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE MOSTLY INTACT ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL MAINTAIN
GENERALLY LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS AND SLIGHT SEAS OVER EVERYWHERE
EXPECT OFF THE W COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WHERE LATE EVENING
LOCAL EFFECTS WILL KEEP BRIEF PERIODS OF NE WINDS TO 20 KT.
LOTS OF MOISTURE ARRIVING WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IN THE NW
CARIBBEAN WILL COME INTO PHASE WITH A BROAD UPPER TROUGH DIGGING
INTO THE NE GULF EARLY NEXT WEEK TO DELIVER ANOTHER ROUND OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM LATE MON INTO TUE.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: PREVIOUS FORECAST BLENDED WITH THE GFS. MWW3 FOR
WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

THE PERSISTENT RIDGING NORTH OF THE AREA WILL MAINTAIN THIS
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN WILL MOVE WESTWARD THROUGH THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH
TONIGHT...ENTERING THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN LATE SAT...BEFORE SLOWING
AND AMPLIFYING FROM THE GULF OF HONDURAS THROUGH THE COAST OF
NICARAGUA LATE SUNDAY. THE WAVE WILL INTERACT WITH A MID/UPPER LOW
OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN. WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
WILL DIMINISH SLIGHTLY AS THE TROPICAL WAVE MOVES THROUGH...THEN
INCREASE AGAIN LATE SUNDAY WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT. MODERATE
TO FRESH TRADE WINDS WILL PERSIST OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC E OF
THE LESSER ANTILLES TO 55W THROUGH MON.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: PREVIOUS FORECAST BLENDED WITH THE GFS. MWW3
BLENDED WITH MWW3 FOR WAVE HEIGHTS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 27N65W TO 28N75W WHERE A WEAK LOW PRES AREA IS
NEAR 29N80W. THE LOW WILL DISSIPATE LATER TODAY. THE RIDGE IS
MAINTAINING LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS ACROSS THE AREA. THE RIDGE
WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT SOUTHWARD TO NEAR 25N THROUGH EARLY MON. THE
RIDGE AXIS WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT BACK NORTHWARD ON TUE. GRADUALLY
SHIFT SOUTHWARD TO NEAR 25N THROUGH EARLY MON. THE RIDGE AXIS WILL
BEGIN TO SHIFT BACK NORTHWARD ON TUE.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.