000 AGXX40 KNHC 041812 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 212 PM EDT WED JUN 4 2014 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: ECMWF-GFS BLEND. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE. A TROUGH PREVAILS OVER THE W GULF WITH LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE BASE OF THE TROUGH. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT MODERATE TO FRESH...WITH LOCALLY STRONG...WINDS OVER THE SW GULF WATERS. ELSEWHERE GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL. SEAS ARE IN THE 4-7 FT RANGE OVER THE SW GULF AND 2-4 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF WATERS. THERE CONTINUES TO REMAIN SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER OVER THE SW GULF WATERS. THOUGH MODELS ARE IN MORE AGREEMENT WITH THE LOW MEANDERING OVER THE SW GULF THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK THEN DISSIPATING THIS WEEKEND...THE LARGEST DIFFERENCES ARE IN THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW. THE GFS CONTINUES TO BE THE STRONGEST WITH RESPECT TO THE LOW. THE LATEST UKMET RUNS ARE STARTING TO SHOW A STRONGER LOW THAN ITS PREVIOUS RUNS. THE ECMWF IS KEEPING A SLIGHTLY WEAKER LOW OVER THE SW GULF. WILL CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SW GULF WITH FRESH TO STRONG WINDS AND SEAS TO 8 FT IN THE NE QUADRANT OF THE LOW THROUGH FRIDAY. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS-ECMWF BLEND HIGH PRESSURE IS BUILDING N OF THE AREA IN THE SW N ATLC WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY... AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG TRADES OVER THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AND THE GULF OF HONDURAS. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES PREVAIL ELSEWHERE OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADES PREVAIL ELSEWHERE OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 5-7 FT RANGE IN THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS...7-10 FT RANGE IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN....3-5 FT IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...AND 4-6 FT IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...EXCEPT IN THE GULF OF HONDURAS WHERE SEAS ARE IN THE 6-8 FT RANGE. THE STATIONARY FRONT WILL DRIFT NORTHWARD THROUGH THURSDAY BEFORE DISSIPATING WHILE HIGH PRESSURE FURTHER BUILDS N OF THE AREA FRESHENING TRADES OVER MUCH OF THE CARIBBEAN BASIN THROUGH SATURDAY. A NOCTURNAL WINDS MAX REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE IS LIKELY EACH NIGHT DURING THIS TIME OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WITH SEAS BRIEFLY BUILDING TO 11 FT. GULF OF HONDURAS WINDS ALSO TO REMAIN STRONG AND PULSE TO 25 KT AT NIGHT...WITH SEAS REMAINING NEAR 6-8 FT. THE RIDGE N OF THE AREA WILL SHIFT EASTWARD THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL RESULT IN A SLIGHT LOOSENING OF THE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND ASSOCIATED DIMINISHING OF THE TRADES OVER THE CARIBBEAN WATERS. ..SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS-ECMWF BLEND A DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM 23N65W TO THE SOUTHERN BAHAMAS. HIGH PRESSURE IS BUILDING OVER THE N WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE BASIN WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE BASIN. SEAS FROM THE NORTHERLY SWELL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE...AND ARE CURRENTLY IN THE 5-7 FT RANGE OUTSIDE OF THE BAHAMAS...AND 1-3 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. THE STATIONARY FRONT WILL DRIFT NORTHWARD THROUGH THURSDAY WHILE WASHING OUT. THE EASTERN ATLANTIC RIDGE WILL BUILD WESTWARD AND ABSORB THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS. THE RIDGE WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND AND HELP FOR FRESH TRADES OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS. THE RIDGE WILL THEN START TO RETREAT EASTWARD SLIGHTLY DIMINISHING TRADES SUN AND MON. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.