000
AGXX40 KNHC 290645
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
245 AM EDT THU MAY 29 2014

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

MODERATE SE TO S FLOW CONTINUES ACROSS THE REGION BETWEEN HIGH 
PRES OVER THE WESTERN ATLC AND TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER 
LOW CENTERED OVER ARKANSAS. MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND 
MAINTAIN A WEAK PRES PATTERN ACROSS THE GULF THROUGH SATURDAY. 
THERE IS GENERAL AGREEMENT REGARDING DEVELOPMENT OF A TROUGH OR 
WEAK LOW PRES OVER THE SW GULF FRI THEN WEAKENING AS IT DRIFTS 
ACROSS THE BAY OF CAMPECHE THROUGH SUN. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

LITTLE SIGNIFICANT CHANGE EXPECTED TO CURRENT SYNOPTIC PATTERN 
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. COMBINATION OF RIDGING NORTH OF THE REGION 
AND A SERIES OF WEAK TROPICAL WAVES MIGRATING WESTWARD ACROSS 
NORTHERN SOUTH AMERICA SOUTH OF CARIBBEAN BASIN ARE MAINTAINING 
FRESH TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG TRADE WIND FLOW OVER THE S CENTRAL 
CARIBBEAN AND THE GULF OF HONDURAS. EXPECT TROUGH OR WEAK LOW 
PRES TO DEVELOP IN GULF OF HONDURAS SUN...THEN DRIFT ACROSS THE 
YUCATAN PENINSULA MON.

..SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

STRONG BROAD ATLANTIC RIDGE EXTENDING W-SW FROM STATIONARY HIGH 
PRESSURE NEAR 35N30W WILL DOMINATE THE REGION THROUGH SAT WITH 
VERY LITTLE SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO CURRENT CONDITIONS IN THE 
TROPICS AND SUBTROPICS EXPECTED. FRESH TRADES S OF RIDGE AXIS IN 
SOUTHERN BAHAMAS WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRI. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF 
THERE IS GOOD AGREEMENT IN GLOBAL MODELS SHOWING DEVELOPING LOW 
PRES MOVING OFF THE CAROLINA COAST SAT...WHICH WILL THEN SHIFT 
THE RIDGE SOUTHWARD SUN AS A TRAILING FRONT SAGS SOUTH OF 30N.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.