000 AGXX40 KNHC 230620 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 220 AM EDT FRI MAY 23 2014 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE. ...GULF OF MEXICO... 1020 MB HIGH LOCATED OVER THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF DOMINATES THE REGION WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW PREVAILING ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED THE NEXT 4-5 DAYS. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL MEANDER OVER THE NE TO N CENTRAL GULF WHILE SE RETURN FLOW DOMINATES THE W GULF. ALL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE. MOST RECENT ASCAT SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWS LARGE AREA OF 20 KT WINDS IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH A SMALLER AREA OF 24-28 KT WINDS EVIDENT NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. BROAD EXTENSION OF MID ATLANTIC RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THE NEXT 4-5 DAYS...MEANING THERE WILL BE LITTLE SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO CURRENT CONDITIONS. THE AREA OF FRESH-STRONG WINDS WILL EXPAND AND CONTRACT SLIGHTLY THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS BUT OVERALL EFFECT WILL BE UNCHANGED AS AN AREA OF 7-9 FT SEAS REMAINS POSITIONED FROM 10.5N TO 14N BETWEEN 70W AND 80W. SEAS MAY OCCASIONALLY REACH 10 FT NEAR 12N76W EACH MORNING AROUND 1200 UTC. GFS FORECAST SHOWS THE NORTHERN EXTENT OF A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY WELL OF AREA ALONG 44W WILL MOVE ACROSS TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS SOUTH OF 12N SAT AND REACH THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN MON. ..SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A MASSIVE MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE EXTENDING W-SW FROM STATIONARY HIGH PRESSURE NEAR 35N30W WILL DOMINATE THE REGION FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT WEEK WITH VERY LITTLE IF ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO CURRENT CONDITIONS IN THE TROPICS AND SUBTROPICS EXPECTED. A WEAK FRONT WILL SLIDE EASTWARD N OF 30N SAT THROUGH MON WITH WEAK HIGH PRES BUILDING BEHIND THE FRONT E OF THE CAROLINAS. OTHERWISE EXPECT LIGHT WINDS AND BENIGN SEAS THE NEXT 4-5 DAYS ALONG A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ROUGHLY FROM 27N65W TO SOUTH FLORIDA. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.