000 AGXX40 KNHC 141800 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT WED MAY 14 2014 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A STRONG COLD FRONT ACROSS THE W GULF FROM LOUISIANA TO SOUTHERN MEXICO IS PRODUCING GALE FORCE WINDS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO BASED ON SCATTEROMETER DATA. WIDESPREAD STRONG TSTMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT HAVE DIMINISHED IN THE SW GULF THIS MORNING. A TROUGH IN THE E GULF EXTENDS N FROM A 1010 MB LOW NEAR 23N88W TO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE FRONT WILL MERGE WITH THE TROUGH LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY THU ALONG 87W WITH A WEAK LOW EXPECTED TO FORM IN THE NE GULF. THE FRONT WILL REACH FROM ALABAMA TO VERACRUZ MEXICO TONIGHT...FROM BIG BEND OF FLORIDA TO BAY OF CAMPECHE THU...FROM S FLORIDA TO YUCATAN PENINSULA THU NIGHT...THEN MOVE E OF THE AREA FRI. HIGH PRES BUILDING BEHIND FRONT WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION FRI THROUGH SUN. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE. HIGH PRES RIDGE N-NE OF THE AREA COMBINED WITH LOW PRES OVER NORTHERN COLOMBIA IS SUPPORTING FRESH TO STRONG EASTERLY WINDS AND SEAS TO 9-10 FT IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. WINDS DIMINISH IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN FRI AS ATLC HIGH PRES WEAKENS. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL ELSEWHERE...INCLUDING THE TROPICAL N ATLC...THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE COLD FRONT IN THE W GULF OF MEXICO WILL REACH THE YUCATAN PENINSULA EARLY THU AND MOVE SE OF THE YUCATAN CHANNEL THU MORNING. MODELS SHOW THE FRONT BECOMING DIFFUSE FRI...BUT N-NE WINDS WILL DOMINATE THE NW CARIBBEAN THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND. MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE. SE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE CAROLINA COAST TO NEAR 25N60W PREVAIL ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA TODAY. WINDS WILL VEER MORE SOUTHERLY ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH THU NIGHT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL OFF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA EARLY FRI. THE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM 31N78W TO WESTERN CUBA FRI... FROM 31N75W TO CENTRAL CUBA FRI NIGHT...FROM 31N73W TO EAST- CENTRAL CUBA SAT...THEN WEAKEN INTO A TROUGH FROM 31N70W TO THE SE BAHAMAS SUN. EXPECT FRESH SOUTHERLY WINDS N OF 28N AHEAD OF THE FRONT INITIALLY...THEN DIMINISHING BELOW 20 KT BY FRI NIGHT. HIGH PRES WILL GRADUALLY BUILD OVER THE AREA SAT AND SUN. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... .GMZ017...W CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N W OF 96W... GALE WARNING TODAY. .GMZ023...SW GULF S OF 22N W OF 94W... GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH THU. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.