000
AGXX40 KNHC 131805
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT TUE MAY 13 2014

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND. MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A COLD FRONT ALONG THE TEXAS COAST WILL DIVE SOUTHWARD TONIGHT 
THROUGH THU IN THE WESTERN GULF TO EXTEND FROM LOUISIANA TO 
SOUTHERN MEXICO TONIGHT...FROM MISSISSIPPI TO VERACRUZ WED...AND 
FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND TO BAY OF CAMPECHE THU. STRONG HIGH 
PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN MEXICO BEHIND THE 
FRONT WILL INDUCE GALE FORCE WINDS BETWEEN 22N AND 26N W OF 96W 
WED AND WED NIGHT...AND ANOTHER AREA OF GALES S OF 21N W OF 95W 
NEAR THE COAST OF VERACRUZ WED NIGHT AND THU. CONSENSUS MODEL 
GUIDANCE SHOWS THE FRONT MERGING WITH A SURFACE TROUGH IN THE E 
GULF THU NIGHT THEN MOVING EASTWARD OUT OF THE AREA FRI.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

FRESH TO STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN 
TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRI AS HIGH PRES BUILDS NE OF THE 
AREA. TAIL END OF A WEAK FRONT WILL REACH THE NW CARIBBEAN THU 
WITH PRIMARY EFFECT A WIND SHIFT OF LIGHT WINDS. MODERATE TO 
FRESH TRADES WILL PREVAIL ELSEWHERE THROUGH SAT.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLEND. MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE BAHAMAS WILL CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD 
INTO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA THROUGH EARLY WED. A COLD FRONT WILL 
REACH NW WATERS THU NIGHT AND EXTEND FROM 31N78W TO S FLORIDA 
FRI...THEN FROM 31N74W ACROSS THE BAHAMAS TO CENTRAL CUBA SAT.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
.GMZ017...W CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N W OF 96W...
     GALE WARNING WED AND WED NIGHT. 
.GMZ023...SW GULF S OF 22N W OF 95W...
     GALE WARNING WED THROUGH THU.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.