000
AGXX40 KNHC 061705
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
105 PM EDT TUE MAY 6 2014

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...
MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL
FORECAST. LATEST MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST.
HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH
FRI. THE HIGH PRESSURE IN THE N CENTRAL GULF WILL MOVE E OF THE
AREA BY WED MORNING...BUT A RIDGE WILL LINGER OVER THE NORTHERN
GULF THROUGH FRI WITH SE RETURN FLOW. SE WINDS INCREASE TO 20-25
KT THU AND FRI AND SEAS BUILD TO 7 FT THROUGH THE STRAITS OF
FLORIDA. THE WINDS DECREASE SAT...HOWEVER S-SE WINDS 15-20 KT
ACROSS MOST OF THE GULF. THE WINDS THEN DECREASE TO 10-15 KT ON
SUN AS THE PRES GRADIENT WEAKENS.


.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL
LATEST MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. HIGH
CONFIDENCE.

A SMALL AREA OF 15-20 KT WINDS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA...OTHERWISE
ELY WINDS 10-15 KT ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN. WEAK LOW
PRES DEVELOPS OVER HONDURAS AND ELY WINDS INCREASE TO 20-25 KT
THROUGH THE GULF OF HONDURAS WED NIGHT. THE WINDS THEN DECREASE TO
15-20 KT FRI THROUGH SUN. E WINDS 15-20 KT ALONG THE COAST OF
COLOMBIA THROUGH SAT...OTHERWISE 10-15 KT WINDS ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE AREA THROUGH SUN.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS/ECMWF BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL
FORECAST. LATEST MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST.
HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRES WILL DOMINATE MUCH OF THE SW N ATLC THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. THE TAIL END OF A DISSIPATING COLD FRONT EXTENDS
FROM 23N65W TO 22N73W THE FRONT WILL BECOME DIFFUSE LATE WED.
THIS WILL ENHANCE THE TRADES AS AN INVERTED TROUGH MOVES INTO THE
SE PORTION OF THE AREA BY THE WEEKEND. THIS INCREASES THE WINDS TO
20-25 KT. SEAS BUILD TO 8 FT S OF 26N E OF THE BAHAMAS SUN.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.