000
AGXX40 KNHC 011739
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
139 PM EDT TUE APR 1 2014

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...
MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL 
FORECAST. LATEST MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST.
HIGH CONFIDENCE.

MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH SE RETURN FLOW CONTINUES IN
THE SW GULF WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE ELSEWHERE...SUPPORTED BY HIGH
PRES OVER THE NE GULF AND LOW PRES MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHERN U.S.
PLAINS...WITH SEAS 1-2 FT ACROSS THE NE GULF AND 3-5 FT ELSEWHERE. THE
LOW PRES WILL DEEPEN ACROSS TEXAS AND NE MEXICO THROUGH MID
WEEK...ALLOWING SE WINDS TO INCREASE OVER MUCH OF THE WESTERN
GULF...INCREASING SEAS. WINDS OVER THE NW GULF WILL START TO
DIMINISH THU AS A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES OFF THE TEXAS COAST. THE
FRONT WILL SHIFT SE BUT STALL FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO THE SW
GULF BY LATE FRI THROUGH SAT.
 
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 
55W AND 65W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL 
FORECAST. LATEST MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST
HIGH CONFIDENCE.

THE TAIL END OF AN STATIONARY COLD FRONT EXTENDS INTO THE
CARIBBEAN THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE. THE FRONT WILL DISSIPATE
TONIGHT. ATLC HIGH PRES NE OF THE AREA COMBINED WITH COLOMBIAN
LOW PRESSURE IS SUPPORTING 20-25 KT NE-E WINDS IN THE S CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN ALONG WITH 8-10 FT SEAS. MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH
TRADES AND 3-5 FT SEAS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA. THESE CONDITIONS
WILL NOT CHANGE MUCH DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS OR SO.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL 
FORECAST. LATEST MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST
HIGH CONFIDENCE.

COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 32N65W TO NEAR THE WINDWARD PASSAGE. THIS
FRONT WILL SHIFT E OF THE AREA BY EARLY WED. ASSOCIATED WINDS ARE
FRESH TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM E OF THE FRONT...AND FRESH TO STRONG
W-NW WINDS ARE N OF 30N TO 70W W OF THE FRONT. WINDS WILL DIMINISH
TO MODERATE TO FRESH NEAR THE FRONT LATER TODAY. MEANWHILE NW
SWELL OF 8-13 FT BEHIND THE FRONT WILL SUBSIDE TO 6-9 FT BY WED
MORNING OVER THE NE CORNER THEN TO 5-7 FT BY THU MORNING. MODERATE
TO LOCALLY FRESH RETURN FLOW WILL DOMINATE THE BASIN FRI THROUGH
SAT ALONG WITH 5-7 FT SEAS EXCEPT 1-2 FT INSIDE THE BAHAMAS. A
WEAK COLD FRONT MAY APPROACH THE NW CORNER BY LATE SAT INTO EARLY
SUN.
 
$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.