000 AGXX40 KNHC 171712 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 112 PM EDT MON MAR 17 2014 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE. A STRONG COLD FRONT IS MOVING ACROSS THE GULF WATERS FOLLOWED BY GALE FORCE WINDS...THE FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO THE CENTRAL BAY OF CAMPECHE. FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE NOTED AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH SEAS TO NEAR 9 FT. THE FRONT WILL REACH FROM TAMPA BAY TO THE YUCATAN CHANNEL THIS EVENING...MOVING E THROUGH THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA LATE TONIGHT INTO TUE. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST BEHIND THE FRONT TODAY AFFECTING ZONES GMZ017...GMZ019...GMZ023 AND GMZ025. WINDS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH BELOW GALE WARNING FORCE THIS EVENING AS THE FRONT EXITS THE AREA. SEAS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD UP TO 12-13 FT IN THE AREA OF THE STRONGEST WINDS. WEAK HIGH PRES WILL DEVELOP OVER THE CENTRAL GULF ON TUE TAKING CONTROL OF THE WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THU WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE NE-E WINDS (LIGHTEST NORTHERN HALF OF THE BASIN) INCREASING TO MODERATE TO FRESH WED AND THU AS THE WEAK HIGH PRES BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BE REINFORCING BY A STRONGER HIGH PRES MOVING E ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF STATES. THE HIGH WILL SHIFT EASTWARD ON FRI ALLOWING FOR GENTLE RETURN FLOW IN THE NE HALF OF THE GULF WITH MODERATE RETURN FLOW ELSEWHERE. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG TRADES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID WEEK ALONG THE NW COAST OF COLOMBIA WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING DURING LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO BLOWING ACROSS THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL THIS EVENING. THE FRONT WILL REACH FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO THE E GULF OF HONDURAS TUE EVENING THEN STALL AND DRIFT NW ON WED. THE AERIAL EXTENT AND STRENGTH OF THE TRADES WILL INCREASE WED THROUGH FRI AS ATLC HIGH PRES STRENGTHENS. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. MEDIUM CONFIDENCE. HIGH PRES RIDGE WITH AXIS FROM 29N65W TO SOUTH FLORIDA DOMINATES THE REGION. STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW N OF THE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT MOVING OFF THE SE UNITED STATES COAST TONIGHT. A LOW PRES WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER N FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON REACHING A POSITION NEAR 29N82W THIS EVENING...THEN NEAR 31N77W TUE MORNING WITH THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT STRETCHING FROM THE LOW CENTER TO SE FLORIDA AND THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. THE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM 31N71W TO CENTRAL CUBA TUE EVENING...THEN WILL STALL FROM 27N65W TO CENTRAL CUBA WED EVENING...GRADUALLY DISSIPATING THROUGH THU. A SECOND COLD FRONT WILL CLIP THE NW WATERS BY THU. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... .GMZ017...W CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N W OF 94W... GALE WARNING TODAY. .GMZ019...CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N BETWEEN 87W AND 94W... GALE WARNING TODAY. .GMZ023...SW GULF S OF 22N W OF 94W... GALE WARNING TODAY. .GMZ025...E BAY OF CAMPECHE INCLUDING CAMPECHE BANK... GALE WARNING TODAY. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.