000
AGXX40 KNHC 120552
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
152 AM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS/MWW3 BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. MEDIUM
CONFIDENCE.

TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL GULF WILL MOVE E AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
ENTERING THE NW GULF LATER THIS MORNING. THE COLD FRONT WILL
EXTEND FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE LATE TODAY AND
PASS S OF THE GULF TONIGHT. SOUTHERLY RETURN WILL DEVELOP OVER
THE NW GULF THU NIGHT AND SPREAD E ACROSS THE ENTIRE GULF ON FRI.
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NW GULF ON FRI NIGHT...AND
EXTEND FROM THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA TO NE MEXICO ON SAT AND
DISSIPATE OVER THE E CENTRAL GULF ON SUN.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 65W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS/MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST.
HIGH CONFIDENCE.

NE WINDS 20-25 KT NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA...FROM 10N-13N
BETWEEN 73W-77W WITH SEAS THERE TO 8 FT. A WEAK HIGH PRES LOCATED
N OF THE AREA WILL MOVE E AND THE WINDS WILL TO DIMINISH TO 20 KT
OR LESS ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN BY THU. A STRONG COLD
FRONT FORECAST TO MOVE QUICKLY ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO ON WED
AND WILL REACH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL AND THE FAR NW CARIBBEAN EARLY
ON THU...EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS LATE
THU. FRESH NORTHERLY WINDS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT WITH BUILDING
SEAS TO AROUND 8 FT IN THE YUCATAN CHANNEL. THE FRONT IS FORECAST
TO EXTEND FROM EASTERN CUBA TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS BY FRI WHERE
IT WILL STALL AND DISSIPATE LATE SAT. MODERATE NW SWELL CURRENTLY
MOVING THROUGH TROPICAL ATLC AREA AND E CARIBBEAN PASSAGES WILL
SUBSIDE LATER TODAY.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS/MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST.
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE.

SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE N OF THE BAHAMAS TODAY IN ADVANCE OF
A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING OFF THE SE UNITED STATES COAST ON TONIGHT.
THE COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM BERMUDA TO E CUBA LATE THU...AND
STALL AND WEAKEN FROM 24N65W TO HISPANIOLA ON FRI. A RIDGE WILL
EXTEND FROM BERMUDA TO CENTRAL FLORIDA ON SAT...THEN SHIFT E ON
SUN AS A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES OFF THE SE UNITED STATES COAST.
WINDS WILL BRIEFLY INCREASE TO GALE FORCE WINDS N OF 29N W OF THE
FRONT TONIGHT...THEN DECREASE TO BELOW GALE FORCE LATE THU.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...GALE WARNING TONIGHT.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO THU. 
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO THU. 
AMZ113...GALE WARNING THU.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.