000
AGXX40 KNHC 110537
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
137 AM EDT TUE MAR 11 2014

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS/MWW3 BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. MEDIUM
CONFIDENCE.

A WEAK RIDGE DOMINATES THE EASTERN GULF. GENTLE TO MODERATE E-SE
WINDS ARE NOTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE E AND CENTRAL GULF WATERS. A STATIONARY
FRONT IS OVER THE WESTERN GULF AND EXTENDS FROM SE LOUISIANA TO
27N95W TO 20N96W. A WEAK LOW PRES IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY NEAR 28N93W ON TODAY WITH THE FRONT
EXTENDING FROM LOW CENTER TO NEAR 19N95W. THE LOW PRES WILL MOVE NE
INTO THE SE U.S. WHILE THE FRONT WILL WEAKEN TO A TROUGH ACROSS
THE EASTERN GULF BY WED. A STRONGER AND REINFORCING COLD FRONT IS
FORECAST TO ENTER THE GULF ON WED AND MOVE QUICKLY SE ACROSS THE
AREA FOLLOWED BY FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS AROUND 20-30 KT. THE FRONT
IS FORECAST TO BE SE OF AREA LATE WED NIGHT.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 65W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS/MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST.
HIGH CONFIDENCE.

NE WINDS 20-25 KT NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA...WITH GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS ELSEWHERE. SEAS OF 4-6 FT ARE OVER THE SOUTH-
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN BUILDING TO 6-8 FT NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA
WHERE THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED EACH NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRES
WILL BUILD N OF AREA. AS A RESULT...EXPECT MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS
ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN INCREASING TO FRESH TO STRONG
WINDS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA EACH NIGHT. MODERATE NW SWELL
CURRENTLY MOVING INTO TROPICAL ATLC WATERS AND THROUGH E CARIBBEAN
PASSAGES WILL PERSIST THROUGH LATE TUE THEN FADE ON WED.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS/MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST.
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE.

WEAK HIGH PRES BUILDING ACROSS THE AREA WILL MOVE NE WED THROUGH
THU AS STRONG COLD FRONT ENTERS NW PORTIONS REACHING FROM 31N72W
TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA THU MORNING AND FROM NEAR BERMUDA TO
EASTERN CUBA LATE THU. EXPECT INCREASING SW FLOW ACROSS N WATERS
AHEAD OF FRONT WED AND STRONG TO POSSIBLE GALE FORCE WINDS BEHIND
THE FRONT WED NIGHT. CURRENTLY...THE FORECAST CALLS FOR GALE
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE WED NIGHT ACROSS ZONE AMZ111.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...GALE WARNING WED NIGHT.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.