000
AGXX40 KNHC 090613
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
113 AM EST SUN MAR 9 2014

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS/MWW3 BLENDED WITH OFFICIAL FORECAST. HIGH
CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRES LOCATED OVER THE NE GULF PRODUCING MAINLY MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH SE TO S WINDS AND SEAS OF 3-5 FT ACROSS THE WESTERN
HALF OF THE GULF AND GENTLE TO MODERATE E TO SE WINDS AND SEAS OF
1-2 FT ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF. THE HIGH PRES WILL REMAIN IN
CONTROL OF THE EASTERN GULF THROUGH SUN. THE NEXT COLD FRONT IS
FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF TODAY. THE FRONT WILL MOVE
SLOWLY EASTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF WITH A LOW PRES LIKELY
DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY NEAR 25N95W ON MON. EXPECT
FRESH TO STRONG WINDS W OF FRONT TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH BUILDING
SEAS TO AROUND 7 FT. THE LOW PRES IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD SE
LOUISIANA ON TUE WITH THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE
LOW CENTER TO THE CENTRAL BAY OF CAMPECHE. THEN...THE FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO REACH FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA ON WED THEN DISSIPATE. A STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
QUICKLY ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL GULF ON WED FOLLOWED BY
FRESH TO STRONG NW FLOW.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 65W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS/MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL
FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ACROSS THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH
FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA EACH NIGHT.
MAINLY MODERATE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
AREA.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS/MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST.
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE.

COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 25N65W TO WINDWARD PASSAGE WILL MOVE
SLOWLY SE ACROSS THE SE PORTION OF THE AREA THROUGH TUE AND
GRADUALLY EXTEND E TO W ALONG 20N BY LATE TUE BEFORE DISSIPATING.
WEAK HIGH PRES WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT. LARGE NW TO N SWELL GENERATED BEHIND COLD FRONT WILL AFFECT
THE NE PORTION OF THE AREA THROUGH MON BEFORE GRADUALLY SUBSIDING
FROM W TO E MON THROUGH TUE.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.