000
AGXX40 KNHC 151854
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
154 PM EST SAT FEB 15 2014

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL 
FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST MANUAL 
ADJUSTMENTS TO SEA HEIGHTS. MED-HIGH CONFIDENCE.

FAST MOVING COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND TO SE 
TEXAS WILL MOVE SE OF THE AREA TONIGHT. SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW 
WILL SET UP OVER THE NW GULF THIS EVENING AND SPREAD E ACROSS 
THE ENTIRE GULF ON MON WITH LITTLE CHANGE THROUGH EARLY WED. THE 
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE OVER THE WESTERN WATERS WED NIGHT.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 
55W AND 65W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL 
FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. MED 
CONFIDENCE. 

FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG TRADES WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE S CENTRAL 
CARIBBEAN WITH MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH TRADE WINDS ARE 
EXPECTED ELSEWHERE THROUGH THE PERIOD. 

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL 
FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. MED 
CONFIDENCE.

A COLD FRONT IS MERGING WITH A STATIONARY FRONT FROM NEAR 
BERMUDA TO CENTRAL CUBA. A STRONG COLD FRONT OVER THE NW WATERS 
WILL PRODUCE GALE FORCE WINDS THROUGH LATE TONIGHT WITH THE 
FRONT REACHING FROM BERMUDA TO E CUBA LATE TONIGHT THEN STALL 
FROM 25N65W TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE ON SUN NIGHT. SOUTHERLY 
RETURN FLOW SETS UP N OF THE BAHAMAS LATE MON WITH A RIDGE 
DEVELOPING FROM BERMUDA TO CENTRAL FLORIDA ON TUE INTO WED.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TONIGHT. 
AMZ113...GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TONIGHT. 
AMZ115...GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TONIGHT. 
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.