000 AGXX40 KNHC 131918 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 218 PM EST THU FEB 13 2014 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. THE COLD FRONT THAT BROUGHT GALE FORCE WINDS TO THE GULF WATERS HAS MOVED SE OF AREA AND PRESENTLY EXTENDS ACROSS WESTERN CUBA AND THE NW CARIBBEAN. THE 1550 ASCAT PASS PROVIDED OBSERVATIONS OF NW WINDS IN THE 20-25 KT RANGE THROUGH THE EASTERN HALF OF THE GULF...INCLUDING THE YUCATAN CHANNEL WHILE BUOYS IN THE NE GULF REPORTED SEAS OF 8-10 FT. ELSEWHERE E OF 94W MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS PREVAIL WHILE GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS ARE NOTED W OF 94W. THE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EASTWARD AND AWAY FROM THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH FROM W TO E...AND ON FRI WINDS WILL BE 20 KT OR LESS WITH SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT ACROSS THE ENTIRE GULF UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A WEAK HIGH PRES LOCATED OVER THE NE GULF. LATER ON FRI...EXPECT FRESH SW WINDS ACROSS THE N WATERS AND AHEAD OF A SECOND COLD FRONT FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN GULF FRI NIGHT. FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BRIEFLY FOLLOW THE FRONT MAINLY ACROSS THE NE PART OF THE GULF. THE FRONT WILL MOVE E OF THE AREA SAT NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN DOMINATE THE GULF REGION THROUGH MON. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. SURFACE RIDGE THAT HAS PREVAILED N OF THE AREA HAS STARTED TO RETREAT EASTWARD AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE SW N ATLC AND THE NW CARIBBEAN. AS A RESULT...WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED TO 20-25 KT ACROSS THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES PREVAIL OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AS WELL AS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. WINDS ARE VEERING ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT AND A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH. THE FRONT CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM WESTERN CUBA TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS. MAINLY FRESH WINDS ARE NOTED IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT FORECAST TO REACH FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS EARLY FRI MORNING THEN STALL AND GRADUALLY DISSIPATE AS THE DAY GOES ON. THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL BUILD BACK N OF THE AREA THIS WEEKEND WHICH WILL INCREASE WINDS TO NEAR GALE FORCE JUST OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS WITH BUILDING SEAS TO NEAR 12-13 FT. THE LATEST RUN OF THE GFS MODEL SUGGESTS GALE FORCE WIND NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA ON SUN BETWEEN 0600 AND 1200 UTC. NE SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS THROUGH MON WITH SEAS IN THE 6-9 FT RANGE. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 31N76W TO WESTERN CUBA NEAR 23N81W. THE MOST RECENT SCATTEROMETER PASSES INDICATED GALE FORCE WINDS N OF 29N WEST OF THE FRONT AND N OF 28N E OF FRONT TO 70W. ELSEWHERE AHEAD AND BEHIND THE FRONT...FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ARE BLOWING PARTICULARLY N OF 25N. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA. SEAS ARE IN THE 14-16 FT RANGE IN THE REGION OF THE GALE FORCE WINDS WITH AN ALTIMETER PASS SHOWING SEAS TO 15 FT W OF FRONT. GALES WILL SPREAD E ACROSS THE N WATERS AHEAD OF THE FRONT THROUGH TONIGHT THEN ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE N OF AREA BY EARLY FRI. THE FRONT WILL SHIFT E AND REACH FROM 31N66W TO CENTRAL CUBA FRI MORNING...AND FROM 28N65W TO EASTERN CUBA FRI EVENING...WHERE IT WILL STALL AND DISSIPATE BY SAT. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH 20 KT OF LESS ON FRI...HOWEVER SEAS HIGHER THAN 8 FT IN NW SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT MAINLY THE WATERS N OF 25N E OF 75W. BY FRI NIGHT...EXPECT AGAIN INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS ACROSS THE NW PART OF THE FORECAST AREA AND AHEAD OF A SECOND COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE NORTHERN WATERS SAT. THE LATEST RUN OF THE GFS SUGGESTS BRIEF GALES IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS FRONT N OF 30N. FINALLY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA SUN AND THEN PREVAIL MON. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... GMZ011...NONE. GMZ013...NONE. GMZ015...NONE. GMZ017...NONE. GMZ019...NONE. GMZ021...NONE. GMZ023...NONE. GMZ025...NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... AMZ011...NONE. AMZ013...NONE. AMZ015...NONE. AMZ017...NONE. AMZ019...NONE. AMZ021...NONE. AMZ023...NONE. AMZ025...NONE. AMZ027...NONE. AMZ029...NONE. AMZ031...NONE. AMZ033...NONE. AMZ035...NONE. AMZ037...NONE. AMZ039...NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... AMZ111...GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TONIGHT. AMZ113...GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TONIGHT. AMZ115...GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TONIGHT. AMZ117...NONE. AMZ119...NONE. AMZ121...NONE. AMZ123...NONE. AMZ125...NONE. AMZ127...NONE. *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.