000 AGXX40 KNHC 120647 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 147 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO LOW PRES 1014 MB CENTERED OVER THE NW GULF WITH COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE LOW SSW TO NEAR VERACRUZ MEXICO. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT GALE FORCE WINDS S OF 26N AND W OF THE FRONT WITH FRESH TO NEAR GALE WINDS ELSEWHERE BEHIND THE FRONT. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE SE GULF WITH LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAILING ELSEWHERE E OF THE FRONT. SEAS ARE IN THE 7-10 FT RANGE W OF THE COLD FRONT...4-6 FT ELSEWHERE W OF THE STATIONARY FRONT...2-4 FT ELSEWHERE OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE GULF E OF THE FRONT AND 1-3 FT OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE GULF. THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL RAPIDLY SHIFT NE TODAY PULLING THE COLD FRONT EASTWARD WITH IT. THE SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE NE OF THE AREA TONIGHT WITH THE COLD FRONT SHIFTING SE OF THE AREA THU. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE SW GULF WATERS W OF THE FRONT TODAY BEFORE DIMINISHING BELOW GALE FORCE BY TONIGHT. WINDS AND SEAS WILL DECREASE OVER THE FORECAST AREA FROM W TO E STARTING TONIGHT AND BY THU NIGHT WINDS AND SEAS WILL FALL BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT AND PREVAIL THROUGH SUN. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE PREVAILS N OF THE AREA OVER THE SW N ATLC WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG TRADES OVER THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AS WELL AS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. SEAS ARE IN THE 8-11 FT RANGE OVER THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...6-8 FT RANGE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...5-6 FT OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...3-5 FT OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...AND 6-8 FT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. THE SURFACE RIDGE WILL RETREAT EASTWARD THU WITH WINDS DIMINISHING OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. THE RIDGE WILL BUILD BACK N OF THE AREA THIS WEEKEND WHICH WILL ONCE AGAIN INCREASE WINDS. NE SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS THROUGH SUN WITH SEAS IN THE 6-9 FT RANGE. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. A WEAK RIDGE PREVAILS OVER THE FORECAST WATERS WITH A STATIONARY FRONT OVER THE FAR NW WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE FAR NW WATERS W OF THE FRONT WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADES S OF 23N AND LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE 6-7 FT RANGE OVER THE FAR NW WATERS...4-6 FT ELSEWHERE E OF THE BAHAMAS...AND 1-3 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GULF WATERS WILL ACCELERATE NE PASSING OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA EARLY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUING NE ADJACENT TO THE EASTERN SEABOARD. THE LOW WILL PULL A COLD FRONT INTO THE REGION BY EARLY THU. THE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM NEAR 31N78W BY THU MORNING AND RAPIDLY SHIFT EASTWARD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA REACHING FROM 31N65W TO CENTRAL CUBA BY FRI MORNING WHERE IT WILL STALL BECOME DIFFUSE BY SAT. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE STRENGTH TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND CONTINUE E OF THE FRONT THROUGH FRI. A SECOND FRONT WILL AFFECT THE NORTHERN WATERS SAT. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... GMZ011...NONE. GMZ013...NONE. GMZ015...NONE. GMZ017...GALE WARNING EARLY TODAY. GMZ019...NONE. GMZ021...NONE. GMZ023...GALE WARNING EARLY TODAY INTO TONIGHT. GMZ025...NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... AMZ011...NONE. AMZ013...NONE. AMZ015...NONE. AMZ017...NONE. AMZ019...NONE. AMZ021...NONE. AMZ023...NONE. AMZ025...NONE. AMZ027...NONE. AMZ029...NONE. AMZ031...NONE. AMZ033...NONE. AMZ035...NONE. AMZ037...NONE. AMZ039...NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... AMZ111...GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO THU NIGHT. AMZ113...GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO THU NIGHT. AMZ115...GALE WARNING THU INTO THU NIGHT. AMZ117...NONE. AMZ119...NONE. AMZ121...NONE. AMZ123...NONE. AMZ125...NONE. AMZ127...NONE. *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.