000
AGXX40 KNHC 110635
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
135 AM EST TUE FEB 11 2014

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVE
PARAMETERS.

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO NORTHERN
MEXICO. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH
SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS
N OF THE FRONT WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE FAR SOUTHERN
WATERS AND LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST AREA. SEAS ARE IN THE 3-5 FT RANGE OVER THE FAR NW WATERS
WITH SEAS IN THE 2-3 FT RANGE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE WESTERN
WATERS AND 1-3 FT OVER THE EASTERN WATERS. THE COLD FRONT WILL
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY SHIFT SOUTHWARD THROUGH TUE EVENING EXTENDING
FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND TO NEAR 21N97W. LOW PRESSURE WILL FORM
ALONG THE FRONT OVER THE NE GULF BY WED MORNING. THE LOW WILL
SHIFT NE AND ACCELERATE THE FRONT ACROSS THE GULF WATERS. THE
FRONT WILL REACH FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE
WED EVENING...AND SHIFT SE OF THE AREA BY THU AFTERNOON. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL OVER THE GULF WATERS IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT FRI AND SAT. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 65W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVE
PARAMETERS. 

WEAK SURFACE RIDGE PREVAILS N OF THE AREA OVER THE SW N ATLC
WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH
SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT STRONG TO NEAR GALE WINDS OVER
THE SOUTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AS WELL AS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS
PREVAIL OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. SEAS ARE IN THE 8-12 FT RANGE
OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...5-7 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF
THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...4-6 FT OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...3-5 FT
OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...AND 6-9 FT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC
WATERS. THE RIDGE WILL PREVAIL N OF THE AREA OVER THROUGH THU
BEFORE RETREATING EASTWARD. THIS WILL MAINTAIN THE FRESH TO STRONG
WINDS OVER THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WHICH WILL PEAK NEAR GALE FORCE
DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS. WINDS WILL DIMINISH
THU AS THE RIDGE RETREATS EASTWARD. WINDS WILL INCREASE SLIGHTLY
SAT AS THE RIDGE STARTS TO REBUILD N OF THE AREA. NE SWELLS WILL
CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS THROUGH SAT WITH
SEAS IN THE 6-9 FT RANGE.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVE
PARAMETERS.

A WEAK RIDGE PREVAILS OVER THE FORECAST WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE
DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA
DEPICT LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE FORECAST AREA. SEAS
ARE IN THE 4-5 FT RANGE OVER THE WATERS E OF THE BAHAMAS...AND 1-3
FT RANGE W OF THE BAHAMAS. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NW WATERS
WED EVENING WITH INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS
AHEAD OF THE FRONT WED NIGHT INTO THU. THESE WINDS MAY REACH GALE
FORCE E OF THE FRONT. THE FRONT WILL REACH FROM NEAR 31N78W TO S
FLORIDA THU MORNING...FROM 29N65W TO CENTRAL CUBA FRI MORNING
WHERE IT WILL STALL AND WEAKEN THROUGH SAT.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.