000
AGXX40 KNHC 100653
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
153 AM EST MON FEB 10 2014

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVE
PARAMETERS.

HIGH PRESSURE OF 1021 MB IS CENTERED OVER THE NE GULF. LATEST
SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND
CMAN DATA DEPICT MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS OVER THE SE GULF...GENTLE
TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE W GULF...AND LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS OVER
THE NE GULF. SEAS ARE IN THE 2-4 FT RANGE OVER MUCH OF THE GULF
EXCEPT FOR THE NE GULF WHERE SEAS IN THE 1-2 FT RANGE PREVAIL. A
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE N GULF WATERS TODAY AND SLOWLY SINK
SOUTHWARD THROUGH WED...REACHING FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO N
MEXICO EARLY TUE...THE E PORTION WILL THEN STALL AS A LOW BEGINS
TO DEVELOP THERE...WHILE THE W PORTION IS FORCED QUICKLY S ACROSS
THE W WATERS AND COASTAL PLAINS OF MEXICO...WITH THE FRONT REACHING
FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO THE W BAY OF CAMPECHE BY WED
AFTERNOON. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO RAPIDLY SHIFT SE REACHING
FROM S FLORIDA TO THE N YUCATAN EARLY THU...AND SE OF THE AREA BY
THU EVENING. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 65W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVE
PARAMETERS. 

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE PREVAILS OVER THE SW N ATLC WATERS. LATEST
SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND
CMAN DATA DEPICT STRONG TO NEAR GALE WINDS OVER THE S CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN WITH MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES PREVAILING OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AS WELL AS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS
PREVAIL OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. SEAS ARE IN THE 8-12 FT RANGE
OVER THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...5-7 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...5-6 FT OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND 3-5 FT
OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. NE SWELLS WITH SEAS IN THE 6-9 FT
RANGE CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. WEAK
RIDGE WILL CONTINUE N OF THE AREA WITH FRESH TO STRONG WINDS
PREVAILING OVER THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN DURING THE DAY AND PULSING
TO NEAR GALE FORCE OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA DURING THE LATE NIGHT
AND EARLY MORNING HOURS. THE RIDGE N OF THE AREA WILL RETREAT
EASTWARD THU WHICH WILL DIMINISH WINDS OVER THE CARIBBEAN THU AND
FRI. NE SWELL WITH SEAS IN THE 6-8 FT RANGE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
THROUGH THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS THROUGH FRI. 

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVE
PARAMETERS.

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM NEAR BERMUDA TO THE FLORIDA STRAITS. LATEST
SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND
CMAN DATA DEPICT LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL OVER MUCH OF THE
AREA EXPECT REACHING MODERATE IN THE VICINITY OF THE FRONT. SEAS
ARE IN THE 4-5 FT RANGE N OF 23N E OF THE BAHAMAS AND 5-6 FT S OF
23N E OF THE BAHAMAS. SEAS W OF THE BAHAMAS ARE IN THE 1-3 FT
RANGE. THE COLD FRONT WILL STALLING THIS MORNING AND SLOWLY
DISSIPATE THROUGH WED. THE NEXT COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NW
WATERS WED EVENING REACHING FROM NEAR 31N69W TO W CUBA THU
EVENING...THEN FROM 28N65W TO CENTRAL CUBA FRI EVENING. SW WINDS
MAY REACH GALE FORCE E OF THE FRONT IN ZONE AMZ115 THU AND HAVE
CONTINUED TO HEADLINE THIS POSSIBILITY IN THE FORECAST.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE THU INTO THU NIGHT. 
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.