000
AGXX40 KNHC 090618
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
118 AM EST SUN FEB 9 2014

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVE
PARAMETERS.

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM S FLORIDA WSW TO THE CENTRAL GULF WHILE
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE OF 1022 MB IS CENTERED OVER THE N CENTRAL GULF.
LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH
SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS
PREVAIL OVER MUCH OF THE GULF EXCEPT FOR THE FAR N WATERS WHERE
LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL. SEAS ARE IN THE 3-5 FT RANGE OVER
THE SW GULF AND 2-4 FT RANGE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF
WATERS. THE FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS EARLY THIS
MORNING EXTENDING WESTWARD TO NEAR 24N86W...WHERE IT WILL LINGER
AND BECOME DIFFUSE THROUGH MID WEEK. THE NEXT FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
THE N WATERS MON. THE FRONT WILL SINK SLOWLY S REACHING FROM THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO N MEXICO EARLY TUE...FROM THE FLORIDA BIG
BEND TO VERACRUZ MEXICO EARLY WED...AND FROM S FLORIDA TO THE N
YUCATAN EARLY THU. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 65W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVE
PARAMETERS.

A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE PREVAILS N OF THE AREA OVER THE SW N ATLC
WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH
SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT STRONG TO NEAR GALE WINDS OVER
THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AS WELL AS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN AND THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. GENTLE TO MODERATE
TRADES PREVAIL OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. WEAK RIDGE WILL PREVAIL
N OF THE AREA TO MAINTAIN THE WINDS OVER THE CARIBBEAN...WITH
TRADES PULSING TO NEAR GALE FORCE OFF THE COAST OF COLOMBIA DURING
THE LATE NIGHT TO EARLY MORNING HOURS. WINDS WILL DIMINISH LATE
THU AS THE RIDGE RETREATS EASTWARD. THE TROPICAL N ATLC WILL
CONTINUE TO SEE EASTERLY SWELL WITH SEAS IN THE 6-8 FT RANGE
THROUGH THU. 

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVE
PARAMETERS.

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM NEAR 31N69W TO S FLORIDA. LATEST
SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN
DATA DEPICT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER MUCH OF THE FORECAST
AREA N OF 21N...AND MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS S OF 21N. SEAS ARE IN
THE 5-6 FT RANGE N OF 21N AND E OF THE BAHAMAS AND IN THE 6-7 FT
RANGE S OF 21N. SEAS W OF THE BAHAMAS ARE IN THE 1-3 FT RANGE. THE
COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EASTWARD STALLING FROM NEAR
30N65W TO THE FLORIDA STRAITS MON WHERE THE BOUNDARY WILL SLOWLY
DISSIPATE THROUGH MID WEEK. A SECOND COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE
SE US COAST EARLY THU AND EXTEND FROM NEAR 31N70W TO W CUBA BY THU
NIGHT.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.