000
AGXX40 KNHC 080700
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EST SAT FEB 8 2014

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVE
PARAMETERS.

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM THE SW N ATLC ACROSS CENTRAL
FLORIDA TO THE CENTRAL GULF. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND
SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT MODERATE TO
FRESH WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS
OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF. SEAS ARE IN THE 4-7 FT RANGE OVER THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE GULF AND 3-5 FT OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
GULF. LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN THE
SW N ATLC. THE LOW WILL LIFT NE TODAY AND HELP PUSH THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY SOUTHWARD INTO THE SE GULF WATERS WHERE IT WILL LINGER
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE
GULF WATERS IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT WITH SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW
DEVELOPING OVER THE WESTERN GULF WATERS LATE SUN NIGHT. THE NEXT
COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY SHIFT SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE NW WATERS THROUGH
LATE TUE...BEFORE NORTHERLY FLOW OF 20-30 KT RACES QUICKLY S DOWN
MEXICAN COAST THROUGH WED. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 65W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVE
PARAMETERS.

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE PREVAILS N OF THE AREA IN THE SW N ATLC
WITH LOW PRESSURE PREVAILING OVER COLOMBIA. LATEST SATELLITE
DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA
DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH
FRESH TRADES OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WATERS.
MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES PREVAIL OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND
TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAILING
OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. SEAS ARE IN THE 8-9 FT RANGE OVER THE
S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN IN THE REGION OF FRESH TO STRONG TRADES AND
5-7 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AND EASTERN
CARIBBEAN. SEAS IN THE 3-5 FT RANGE PREVAIL OVER THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN AND 8-9 FT IN NE SWELL OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS.
THOUGH THE RIDGE WILL WEAKEN FURTHER OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...THE PERSISTENT COLOMBIAN LOW WILL HELP MAINTAIN A TIGHT
GRADIENT OVER THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WATERS WITH FRESH TO STRONG
TRADES PREVAILING...REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE DURING THE LATE NIGHT
AND EARLY MORNING HOURS WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT BY EARLY MON.
THE NE SWELLS OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE THROUGH
THE FORECAST PERIOD...FALLING TO 6-8 FT BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVE
PARAMETERS.

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM NEAR BERMUDA TO CENTRAL FLORIDA.
LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH
SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS N OF
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WITH MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES PREVAILING S OF
23N AND GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS N OF 23N AND E OF THE FRONT. SEAS
ARE IN THE 5-7 FT RANGE N OF 23N AND E OF THE BAHAMAS...6-8 FT S
OF 23N...AND 1-3 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL
LIFT SLOWLY N AS A WARM FRONT AS WEAK LOW PRES WILL DEVELOPS
ALONG THE FRONT. THE LOW PRES CENTER WILL MOVE NE SUN DRAGGING A
WEAK COLD FRONT INTO THE AREA. THE COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM
31N74W TO SOUTH FLORIDA SUN THEN BECOME STATIONARY FROM 29N65W TO
THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA MON AND TUE.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.