000
AGXX40 KNHC 070650
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
150 AM EST FRI FEB 7 2014

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVES
PARAMETERS.

A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM NEAR FT MYERS TO THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH
SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT STRONG TO NEAR GALE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM N OF THE FRONT WITH FRESH TO STRONG WINDS ELSEWHERE
N AND W OF THE FRONT. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL E OF THE
FRONT. SEAS IN THE 8-11 FT PREVAIL N OF THE FRONT AND S OF 27N
WITH 4-6 FT PREVAILING N OF 27N. SEAS IN THE 3-5 FT RANGE PREVAIL
E OF THE FRONT. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH TO 15 TO 20 KT BY
LATE TODAY AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE N OF THE AREA WEAKENS AND
MOVES EASTWARD. THE STALLED FRONT WILL START TO MOVE SLOWLY SE
REACHING THE SE GULF WATERS OVER THE WEEKEND AS A WEAK LOW PRES
SYSTEM DEVELOPS ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY JUST NORTH OF THE NW
BAHAMAS. THE FRONT IS THEN EXPECTED TO MOVE S AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN
OVER THE FAR SE WATERS SUN WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS THE
GULF REGION. SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW WILL SET UP ACROSS THE WESTERN
GULF BY THE LATE WEEKEND AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONT EXPECTED TO MOVE
OFF THE TEXAS COAST TUE MORNING.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 65W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVES
PARAMETERS.

A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE PREVAILS N OF THE AREA IN THE SW N ATLC
WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH
SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG TRADES OVER THE
S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AS WELL AS THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. GENTLE TO MODERATE TRADES
PREVAIL OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. SEAS IN THE 6-8 FT RANGE
PREVAIL OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...4-6 FT OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN...3-5 FT OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...AND 7-9 FT IN NE
SWELL OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. THE RIDGE WILL BUILD
FURTHER THIS WEEKEND AND INCREASE COVERAGE OF STRONG WINDS OVER
THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...WITH WINDS WILL REACH NEAR GALE FORCE
DURING THE LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING HOURS OFF THE COAST OF
COLOMBIA...AND SEAS BUILDING TO NEAR 10 FT OFF THE COAST OF
COLOMBIA. IN THE TROPICAL N ATLC...MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS AND 7-9
FT SEAS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MON BEFORE SUBSIDING SLIGHTLY...TO
6-8 FT BY TUE.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVES
PARAMETERS.

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY PREVAILS FROM NEAR BERMUDA TO NEAR PORT ST
LUCIE WITH SURFACE RIDGE PREVAILING S OF THE FRONT. LATEST
SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN
DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE FAR NW WATERS WITH
MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ELSEWHERE W OF THE FRONT. E OF THE
FRONT...MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS PREVAIL S OF 22N WITH GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS PREVAILING N OF 22N. SEAS IN THE 5-7 FT RANGE
PREVAILS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA OUTSIDE OF THE BAHAMAS...WITH SEAS
REACHING 8 FT IN THE AREA OF STRONGEST TRADES. SEAS IN THE 1-3 FT
RANGE PREVAIL W OF THE BAHAMAS. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL
STALL THEN WILL LIFT SLOWLY N AS A WARM FRONT. WEAK LOW PRES WILL
DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT SAT. THE LOW PRES CENTER WILL MOVE NE SUN
DRAGGING A WEAK COLD FRONT INTO THE AREA. THE COLD FRONT WILL
EXTEND FROM 31N74W TO SOUTH FLORIDA SUN THEN BECOME STATIONARY
FROM 31N65W TO EASTERN CUBA MON AND TUE.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.