000
AGXX40 KNHC 301739
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1239 PM EST THU JAN 30 2014

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.


...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST.
MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVES.

A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TO THE
NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND
SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG
WINDS HAVE DECREASED IN AREAL EXTENT COVERING THE AREA 120 NM NW
OF THE FRONT. SEAS HAVE SUBSIDED TO 9 FT OVER THIS AREA OF FRESH
TO STRONG WINDS AND OVER THE SW GULF. ELSEWHERE LIGHT TO MODERATE
ANTICYCLONIC WINDS PREVAIL WITH SEAS IN THE 3-5 FT RANGE OVER THE
NE GULF AND 4-6 FT OVER THE NW GULF. THE STATIONARY FRONT WILL
DISSIPATE THROUGH SAT. SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW HAS SET UP OVER THE
WESTERN GULF AND WILL PREVAIL UNTIL SUN WHEN THE NEXT COLD FRONT
MOVES INTO THE NW GULF. THE FRONT WILL NOT PROGRESS VERY FAR INTO
THE GULF BEFORE STALLING OVER THE N GULF ON MON AND THEN LIFTING
NORTHWARD AS A WARM FRONT MON NIGHT INTO TUE.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 65W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST.
MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVES.

A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE PREVAILS N OF THE AREA. THE TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT RESULTING S OF THE STRONG RIDGE IS PRODUCING
GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
ELSEWHERE LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH
SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG TRADES COVERING
THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AS WELL AS THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN. MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES PREVAIL OVER THE TROPICAL N
ATLC WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAILING OVER THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN. SEAS IN THE 8-11 FT RANGE PREVAIL ELSEWHERE OVER THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...6-9 FT OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...3-6 FT
OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...AND 8-10 FT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC.
WINDS OVER THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WILL CONTINUE TO PULSE TO
MINIMAL GALE DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS AND
DIMINISH TO NEAR GALE WINDS DURING THE DAYTIME AND EARLY EVENING
HOURS TONIGHT THROUGH SAT WITH SEAS REACHING 15 FT DURING THE
PERIODS OF GALE FORCE WINDS. OTHERWISE FRESH TO STRING WINDS WILL
PREVAIL OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH MON.
IN THE TROPICAL N ATLC...NE SWELL WITH SEAS 8 FT OR GREATER WILL
CONTINUE TO PREVAIL THROUGH MON.


...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST.
MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVES.

COLD FRONT OVER THE AREA HAS BECOME STATIONARY THIS MORNING
EXTENDING FROM NEAR 31N69W TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. LATEST
SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN
DATA DEPICT WINDS AND SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT CONTINUE TO
DECREASE. WINDS ARE 20 KT AND LESS WITH ONLY A SMALL AREA OF SEAS
TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES PREVAIL S OF 22N WITH
GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAILING ELSEWHERE. SEAS IN THE 8-9 FT
RANGE PREVAIL S OF 22N AND E OF THE BAHAMAS WITH SEAS IN THE 6-7
FT RANGE ELSEWHERE OUTSIDE OF THE BAHAMAS AND 2-4 FT W OF THE
BAHAMAS. THE FRONT WILL RETROGRADE NW TONIGHT THROUGH FRI AS WEAK
LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS ALONG THE FRONT AND LIFTS N OF THE AREA.
THIS WILL LEAVE A LINGERING TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN WATERS FRI
AFTERNOON THROUGH SAT EVENING BEFORE LIFTING N OF THE AREA AS HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS FURTHER WEST. THE RIDGE WILL THEN RETREAT
EASTWARD MON AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE NW WATERS.  

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH FRI NIGHT. 
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE. 
AMZ037...NONE. 
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.