000
AGXX40 KNHC 251742
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1242 PM EST SAT JAN 25 2014

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST FOR
WIND. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST FOR WAVES.

A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TO 24N81W
TO 19N93W. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH
SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG NW TO N WINDS
S OF 24N AND W OF THE FRONT WITH SEAS IN THE 8-11 FT RANGE.
MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE W OF THE FRONT WITH SEAS IN THE
3-5 FT RANGE. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS WITH SEAS IN THE 3-5 FT
RANGE PREVAIL E OF THE FRONT. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP IN
THE WESTERN GULF THEN LIFT NE WHILE DISSIPATING THROUGH SUN. HIGH
PRES WILL BUILD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA SUN BEFORE RETREATING
EASTWARD EARLY MON. THE RETREATING HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL ENABLE
A COLD FRONT TO MOVE OFF THE TEXAS COAST MON. THE FRONT WILL SHIFT
ACROSS THE GULF WATERS EXTENDING FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO NE
MEXICO MON NIGHT...FROM S FLORIDA TO THE W BAY OF CAMPECHE TUE
NIGHT...THEN REACHING THE FLORIDA STRAITS TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE
WED NIGHT. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE SW GULF
WATERS W OF THE FRONT WED.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 65W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST FOR
WIND. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST FOR WAVES.

HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS N OF THE AREA. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED
WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT
STRONG TO NEAR GALE WINDS OVER THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WITH
MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN. MODERATE TRADES PREVAIL OVER THE EASTERN AND WESTERN
CARIBBEAN AND MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES PREVAIL OVER THE TROPICAL N
ATLC WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 8-9 FT RANGE OVER THE S CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN AND 4-6 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN WATERS.
SEAS IN THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS ARE IN THE 8-10 FT RANGE IN NE
SWELL N OF 11N AND 5-7 FT S OF 11N. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE N OF THE
AREA WILL WEAKEN THROUGH SUN DECREASING THE TRADES OVER THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL ONCE AGAIN BUILD N OF
THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK WHICH WILL INCREASE TRADES OVER THE
FORECAST AREA. NE SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE TROPICAL N
ATLC WATERS THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST FOR
WIND. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST FOR WAVES.

A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM 27N65W TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA.
LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH
SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG SW WINDS OVER
THE NW WATERS WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAILING OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA. SEAS ARE IN THE 5-7 FT RANGE
OUTSIDE OF THE BAHAMAS AND 2-4 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. A GALE WARNING
IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE FAR NW AREA (ZONE AMZ111)
DUE TO EXPECTED FREQUENT GUSTS TO GALE FORCE. THE STATIONARY
FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LINGER THROUGH EARLY MON BEFORE DISSIPATING.
A SERIES OF WEAK COLD FRONTS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PART OF
THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH WED.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE WED INTO WED NIGHT. 
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TONIGHT. 
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.