000
AGXX40 KNHC 191802
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
102 PM EST SUN JAN 19 2014

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR
REMAINDER OF FORECAST. MED CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRES ACROSS THE MIDDLE GULF WILL MOVE E. A COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN GULF LATE MON NIGHT AND WILL MOVE SE OF
THE AREA LATE TUE NIGHT. STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS...IN THE 20-30 KT
RANGE...WILL FOLLOW THIS FRONT OVER THE NORTHWESTERN GULF BRIEFLY
ON TUE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN IN WEAK OF THE FRONT ON THU
INCREASING THE NORTHERLY WINDS ACROSS MOST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 
55W AND 65W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL 
FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR
REMAINDER OF FORECAST. MED CONFIDENCE.

STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM EASTERN CUBA TO NICARAGUA WILL
GRADUALLY DISSIPATE TONIGHT. FRESH NORTHERLY WINDS ACROSS THE NW
CARIBBEAN WILL DIMINISH TO MODERATE ON MON NIGHT...THEN INCREASE
SOME AGAIN ON TUE NIGHT INTO WED. STRONG TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE
OFF THE NW COAST OF COLOMBIA THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH LATE NIGHT
PULSES TO NEAR GALE FORCE TONIGHT AND MON NIGHT. MODERATE TO FRESH
TRADES WILL CONTINUE ELSEWHERE.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL 
FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR
REMAINDER OF FORECAST. MED CONFIDENCE.

COLD FRONT FROM 28N65W TO SOUTHERN BAHAMAS THEN STATIONARY TO
EASTERN CUBA. ANOTHER COLD FRONT FROM 31N66W TO CENTRAL CUBA WILL
MOVE E AND MERGE WITH THE FIRST FRONT AND BECOME STATIONARY THIS
EVENING FROM 28N65W TO E CUBA. A THIRD COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF
THE SE UNITED STATES COAST THIS EVENING AND MERGE WITH THE
STATIONARY FRONT LATE MON. A FOURTH STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP
E ACROSS THE AREA ON TUE AND WED AND MERGE WITH THE STATIONARY
FRONT ON THU. WINDS INCREASE TO 20-25 KT WITH THIS FRONT WED THEN
DECREASE THU.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...NONE.
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.