000 AGXX40 KNHC 161816 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 116 PM EST THU JAN 16 2014 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A COLD FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH THE SE GULF OVERNIGHT HAS PUSHED SE OF THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. LINGERING FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND REMNANT 8-9 FT SEAS IN THE SE GULF ARE DIMINISHING AND SUBSIDING AS 1024 MB HIGH PRES IN THE NE GULF SLIDES TO THE E-SE. WEAK HIGH PRES WILL REMAIN CENTERED IN THE CENTRAL GULF THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD...OCCASIONALLY WEAKENING AND THEN REBUILDING AS A SERIES OF COLD FRONTS ROTATE THROUGH THE N CENTRAL AND NE GULF. LOCALLY FRESH TO STRONG W-NW WINDS AND 4-7 FT SEAS WILL ACCOMPANY EACH OF THESE FRONTS IN MAINLY THE NE GULF AND PRIMARILY IN THE COASTAL WATERS...WHILE LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS AND TRANQUIL SEAS DOMINATE THE REMAINDER OF THE BASIN. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. AN INITIAL COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM EASTERN CUBA NEAR 20N78W TO 11.5N83.5W IS STALLING WHILE A SECOND COLD FRONT STRETCHING FROM 22.5N82W TO 18N88W PUSHES INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN. AN AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG WINDS AND 8-10 FT SEAS ARE NW OF THE INITIAL FRONT. THE SECOND FRONT WILL CATCH UP TO AND MERGE WITH THE EASTERN FRONT WITH THE COMBINED BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM 20N76W TO 18N79W TO 11N84W BY EARLY FRI MORNING. THE FRESH TO STRONG WINDS AND 8-10 FT SEAS WILL FADE BY EARLY FRI MORNING...THEN WILL RETURN LATE FRI INTO EARLY SAT AS HIGH PRES BUILDS NW AND N OF THE AREA. MEANWHILE FRESH TO STRONG TRADES AND 8-11 FT SEAS WILL PERSIST NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA...WITH MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES AND 4-7 FT SEAS ELSEWHERE. IN THE TROPICAL N ATLC...MODERATE TO FRESH EASTERLY WINDS WILL DOMINATE THROUGH AT LEAST THE NEXT 5 DAYS. SEAS OF 4-7 FT WILL BUILD TO 6-9 FT THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK IN NE SWELL. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FORECAST FOR WAVE PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. AN INITIAL COLD FRONT EXTENDS ABOUT 210 NM WSW OF BERMUDA NEAR 31N72W TO 27N73W TO ACROSS THE SE BAHAMAS TO EASTERN CUBA NEAR 21N76W...WHILE A SECOND COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 31N77W TO 27N79W TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA NEAR 23N81W. FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS FOLLOW THE SECOND FRONT...AND THE POSSIBILITY FOR MINIMAL GALE FORCE WINDS REMAINS IN AMZ111 AND FAR WESTERN AMZ113 THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...ALTHOUGH THE WINDOW FOR GALE WINDS IS QUICKLY CLOSING AND A RECENT ASCAT PASS DID NOT SHOW GALE FORCE WINDS (ONLY UP TO 30 KT). THE FRONTS WILL MERGE FROM 31N70W TO 27N71W TO 22N73W THIS EVENING WHILE THE SOUTHERN PORTION BECOMES STATIONARY TO 20.5N75W WITH ASSOCIATED WINDS AND SEAS RAPIDLY DIMINISHING/ SUBSIDING THIS EVENING. THEREAFTER...A SERIES OF COLD FRONTS WILL ROTATE THROUGH THE WATERS N OF 28N LATE FRI THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. FRESH TO STRONG WINDS AND 8-11 FT SEAS WILL BRIEFLY ACCOMPANY EACH PASSING FRONT N OF 28N...WITH GALE CONDITIONS LIKELY REMAINING N OF 31N. A RIDGE WILL EXTEND ACROSS THE WATERS S OF 28N FROM HIGH PRES CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH N-NE WINDS WILL PREVAIL S OF 28N W OF 70W ALONG WITH 4-6 FT SEAS (EXCEPT 1-3 FT INSIDE BAHAMAS)...WITH MODERATE E-SE WINDS AND 4-7 FT SEAS S OF 28N E OF 70W. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... GMZ011...NONE. GMZ013...NONE. GMZ015...NONE. GMZ017...NONE. GMZ019...NONE. GMZ021...NONE. GMZ023...NONE. GMZ025...NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... AMZ011...NONE. AMZ013...NONE. AMZ015...NONE. AMZ017...NONE. AMZ019...NONE. AMZ021...NONE. AMZ023...NONE. AMZ025...NONE. AMZ027...NONE. AMZ029...NONE. AMZ031...NONE. AMZ033...NONE. AMZ035...NONE. AMZ037...NONE. AMZ039...NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... AMZ111...GALE WARNING TODAY. AMZ113...GALE WARNING TODAY. AMZ115...NONE. AMZ117...NONE. AMZ119...NONE. AMZ121...NONE. AMZ123...NONE. AMZ125...NONE. AMZ127...NONE. *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.