000
AGXX40 KNHC 111744
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1244 PM EST SAT JAN 11 2014

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FOR WAVE PARAMETERS.
HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRES EXTENDING FROM THE WESTERN ATLC TO THE NE GULF WILL
MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH TONIGHT ALLOWING FOR THE NEXT COLD FRONT TO
MOVE OFF THE TEXAS COAST LATER TODAY. THE FRONT WILL REACH FROM
APALACHICOLA BAY TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT...THEN DISSIPATE
OVER THE SE GULF SUN. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NW
GULF MON...AND QUICKLY MOVE SE OF THE GULF EARLY TUE NIGHT. HIGH
PRES MOVES INTO THE NW GULF WED. WINDS BRIEFLY INCREASE TO 25-30
KT S OF 22N W OF 95W TUE THEN DECREASE WED.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 65W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FOR WAVE
PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

FRESH TO STRONG TRADES OVER MUCH OF THE AREA WILL PERSIST THROUGH
MON...WITH A SMALL POCKET OF GALE FORCE WINDS NEAR THE COAST OF
COLOMBIA. THESE GALE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BRIEFLY DIMINISH
ON LATE SUN. COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL TONIGHT
BUT WILL DISSIPATE N OF THE NW CARIBBEAN SUN. SECOND FRONT WILL
APPROACH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL LATE MON CROSS IT BY LATE TUE AND
EXTEND FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS LATE WED. LONG
PERIOD N TO NE SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE TROPICAL N ATLC
INTO MON BEFORE SUBSIDING.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FOR WAVE 
PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE THROUGH TUE...AVERAGE CONFIDENCE 
WED.

HIGH PRES RIDGE FROM NEAR BERMUDA TO THE NW BAHAMAS WILL SHIFT
EASTWARD THROUGH TONIGHT ALLOWING FOR A COLD FRONT TO MOVE INTO
THE NW PORTION. THE FRONT WILL REACH FROM NEAR 31N74W TO JUST SE
OF S FLORIDA TO WESTERN CUBA BY DAYBREAK SUN...THEN BEGIN TO
WEAKEN AS IT REACHES FROM NEAR 31N65W TO THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND
TO CENTRAL CUBA TONIGHT AND DISSIPATE BY MON NIGHT. ANOTHER COLD
FRONT WILL MOVES INTO NW PORTION ON TUE...REACH FROM NEAR 31N74W
TO WESTERN CUBA BY EARLY TUE NIGHT...AND FROM NEAR 31N72W TO
EASTERN CUBA BY LATE ON WED.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO SUN. 
     GALE WARNING SUN NIGHT INTO MON. 
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.