000
AGXX40 KNHC 101815
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
115 PM EST FRI JAN 10 2014

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FOR WAVE PARAMETERS.
HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRES RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE WESTERN ATLC TO THE CENTRAL
GULF WILL MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH SAT ALLOWING FOR THE NEXT COLD
FRONT TO MOVE OFF THE TEXAS COAST EARLY SAT. THE FRONT WILL REACH
FROM NEAR APALACHICOLA BAY TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SAT NIGHT
THEN DISSIPATE OVER THE SE GULF SUN. A REMNANT TROUGH WILL MOVE W
TO THE S CENTRAL GULF BY SUN EVENING. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
INTO THE NW GULF MON AND QUICKLY MOVE SE OF THE GULF BY EARLY TUE
NIGHT. NLY WINDS INCREASE TO 25-30 KT BEHIND THE SECOND FRONT IN
THE SW GULF S OF 22N W OF 95W TUE THEN DECREASE WED. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 65W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FOR WAVE
PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

FRESH TO STRONG TRADE ARE OVER MUCH OF THE AREA AS STRONG ATLC
HIGH PRES MAINTAINS A TIGHT PRES GRADIENT ACROSS MUCH OF THE
CARIBBEAN. A SMALL AREA OF GALE FORCE WINDS NEAR THE COAST OF
COLOMBIA WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SAT AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL SAT NIGHT BUT WILL DISSIPATE N OF THE
NW CARIBBEAN SUN. A SECOND COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE YUCATAN
CHANNEL LATE MON PASS OVER IT BY TUE EVENING WITH INCREASING N
WINDS BEHIND IT. LARGE NE SWELLS AFFECTING THE TROPICAL N ATLC
ZONES WILL CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: LATEST GFS BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL
FORECAST. MWW3 BLENDED WITH PREVIOUS/OFFICIAL FOR WAVE 
PARAMETERS. HIGH CONFIDENCE THROUGH MON...MEDIUM FOR TUE WITH 
REGARDS TO FRONT.

A STATIONARY FRONT FROM 29N65W TO TO 28N70W THEN WARM FRONT TO
28N80W WILL LIFT N OF THE AREA THIS EVENING AS HIGH PRES ELSEWHERE
MOVES EASTWARD. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NW PORTION
LATE SAT NIGHT THEN EXTEND FROM BERMUDA TO THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS
SUN NIGHT AND DISSIPATE ON MON. ANOTHER FRONT WILL MOVES INTO FAR
NW PORTION OF THE AREA EARLY TUE...AND EXTEND FROM 31N76W TO
WESTERN CUBA BY LATE TUE. SLY WINDS INCREASE 20-25 KT AHEAD OF THE
FRONT LATE SAT THEN DECREASE SUN EVENING AS THE FRONT WEAKENS AND
MOVES RAPIDLY ACROSS THE AREA.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS 12 PLANET CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
GMZ011...NONE.
GMZ013...NONE.
GMZ015...NONE.
GMZ017...NONE.
GMZ019...NONE.
GMZ021...NONE.
GMZ023...NONE.
GMZ025...NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
AMZ011...NONE.
AMZ013...NONE.
AMZ015...NONE.
AMZ017...NONE.
AMZ019...NONE.
AMZ021...NONE.
AMZ023...NONE.
AMZ025...NONE.
AMZ027...NONE.
AMZ029...NONE.
AMZ031...GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SAT NIGHT INTO SUN. 
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SUN NIGHT INTO MON. 
     GALE WARNING TODAY INTO TONIGHT. 
AMZ033...NONE.
AMZ035...NONE.
AMZ037...NONE.
AMZ039...NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
AMZ111...NONE.
AMZ113...NONE.
AMZ115...NONE.
AMZ117...NONE.
AMZ119...NONE.
AMZ121...NONE.
AMZ123...NONE.
AMZ125...NONE.
AMZ127...NONE.

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.